NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	77		Excitement	4.0 [995]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +2.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	90		Comeback	2.8 [693]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -22.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	58%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	25	45%	-0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	15	44%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jay Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	6	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	17	53%	0.05	2	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	7	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	12	62%	0.06	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.18,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.22,-0.2,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.20	-0.07	-0.04	20	38%	-0.15	4	-0.08	12	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.0	2.7	31.2	14.8	31.1	1.7	34.2	146.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +11.3%

SEA +11.6%

SEA +16.1%

SEA +9.2%

SEA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SEA	NBA	CHI	SEA	NBA
this game	14.9	16.7	15.5	85.6	97.8	101.6
season	15.0	16.5		98.3	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.1		102.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.7	15.4	18.1	12.4	14.9
SEA	15.9	16.6	18.9	15.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	27	28	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-16	19	13.2	15.7	-2.46	17.0	16.6	0.40
Jay Williams	37	40	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-14	15	14.2	15.5	-1.28	16.4	16.9	-0.42
Fred Hoiberg	12	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-14	15	13.3	15.2	-1.86	15.8	16.8	-0.98
Eddie Robinson	50	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-14	15	12.7	17.7	-5.05	16.4	17.1	-0.70
Corie Blount	53	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-14	15	13.7	16.8	-3.12	16.3	17.2	-0.93
Tyson Chandler	37	36	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.02	-14	1	-15	16.8	13.7	3.12	17.2	16.3	0.93
Trenton Hassell	40	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	1	-15	17.7	12.7	5.05	17.1	16.4	0.70
Jalen Rose	78	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	1	-15	15.2	13.3	1.86	16.8	15.8	0.98
Jamal Crawford	53	52	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	1	-15	15.5	14.2	1.28	16.9	16.4	0.42
Donyell Marshall	63	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.08	-16	3	-19	15.7	13.2	2.46	16.6	17.0	-0.40

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	37	39	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.05	22	-9	31	17.3	16.3	1.07	17.2	13.2	4.03
Gary Payton	79	78	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-3	19	16.8	16.1	0.71	15.5	11.6	3.88
Rashard Lewis	78	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-1	15	16.9	15.4	1.48	14.6	17.1	-2.52
Desmond Mason	81	80	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.10	14	-1	15	16.4	18.5	-2.11	15.3	12.3	2.98
Reggie Evans	62	59	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	2	9	17.2	15.6	1.61	14.9	15.0	-0.13
Kenny Anderson	53	51	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	8	-3	15.4	18.4	-3.04	14.3	15.7	-1.41
Predrag Drobnjak	23	23	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.18	-5	18	-23	18.2	16.2	1.99	12.8	15.7	-2.90
Calvin Booth	32	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	19	-25	16.6	16.7	-0.09	14.2	15.3	-1.04
Ansu Sesay	15	15	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.00	-6	19	-25	15.0	17.0	-2.01	13.5	15.2	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, LAC 125	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.43,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DET 69, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.75,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
PHI 96, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.8%