NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	96		Excitement	3.9 [1022]		MVP	Luc Mbah a Moute (LAC): +12.8%
LA Clippers	125		Comeback	2.4 [922]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -16.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	10	62%	0.09	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	13	55%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Bobby Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	15	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chinanu Onuaku	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.09	12	58%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	11	27%	-0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	0.00	9	44%	-0.03	5	-0.14	14	64%	-0.04

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	8	83%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	14	59%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.00	0.06	12	61%	0.04	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	5	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Brice Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.04
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.03	11	64%	0.07	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.09	-0.00	0.11	5	91%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.01	12	37%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.4	3.3	29.6	17.5	27.4	2.8	26.0	141.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +31.1%

HOU -1.3%

LAC +11.6%

LAC +8.7%

HOU -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	14.0	14.7	14.8	95.0	125.0	107.7
season	13.7	15.0		113.2	110.8
opponent	14.8	14.9		106.6	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.6	14.6	14.8	14.2	14.0
LAC	13.1	14.8	13.4	17.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Taylor	47	47	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.15	-2	-27	25	14.2	13.9	0.32	16.1	13.4	2.69
Ryan Anderson	42	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-28	27	14.5	13.6	0.90	14.1	15.1	-0.95
Montrezl Harrell	73	71	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.24	-10	-19	9	13.8	14.6	-0.79	15.0	13.7	1.32
Bobby Brown	66	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.19	-12	-17	5	13.5	14.9	-1.31	15.4	13.3	2.07
Troy Williams	52	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.37	-24	-5	-19	14.1	13.9	0.28	14.0	15.3	-1.27
Chinanu Onuaku	44	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.26	-22	-7	-15	13.7	14.3	-0.60	15.3	14.1	1.22
Eric Gordon	51	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	-13	-3	14.7	13.3	1.43	14.2	15.1	-0.91
James Harden	54	53	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.20	-27	-2	-25	13.9	14.2	-0.32	13.4	16.1	-2.69
Trevor Ariza	76	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.30	-31	2	-33	13.9	14.2	-0.21	14.3	15.7	-1.43

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	62	62	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.33	32	-3	35	13.9	16.0	-2.12	14.1	13.8	0.38
JJ Redick	61	60	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.28	28	1	27	13.1	17.1	-3.92	15.0	12.6	2.42
Luc Mbah a Moute	50	52	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.18	23	6	17	13.8	15.5	-1.64	14.4	13.6	0.83
DeAndre Jordan	52	52	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.17	21	8	13	13.0	16.5	-3.46	14.8	13.1	1.66
Blake Griffin	55	56	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.27	24	5	19	14.0	15.4	-1.43	15.5	12.1	3.41
Jamal Crawford	62	63	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.18	9	20	-11	15.8	12.8	3.02	13.1	15.5	-2.45
Marreese Speights	36	36	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.13	5	24	-19	15.7	14.1	1.57	12.6	14.8	-2.16
Brandon Bass	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	28	-27	17.2	13.8	3.41	13.0	14.3	-1.31
Brice Johnson	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	33	-37	20.6	14.3	6.25	9.0	14.2	-5.21
Paul Pierce	15	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.20	6	23	-17	13.1	14.9	-1.80	15.1	13.8	1.25
Raymond Felton	48	49	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.15	4	25	-21	15.9	13.5	2.38	13.1	14.8	-1.66
Wesley Johnson	30	32	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	33	-37	17.0	13.7	3.34	12.8	14.6	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.43,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 77, SEA 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DET 69, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.75,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
DET 87, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%