NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	96		Excitement	4.5 [943]		MVP	Daniel Theis (BOS): +10.1%
Brooklyn Nets	110		Comeback	2.6 [522]		LVP	Terry Rozier (BOS): -12.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Theis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.01	0.03	9	80%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brad Wanamaker	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	3	100%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	12	63%	0.11	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	9	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	11	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	7	86%	-0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	10	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	10	37%	-0.01	4	-0.08	4	50%	0.01
Terry Rozier	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	8	12%	-0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.01	9	72%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	1	125%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	13	46%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	24	58%	0.11	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodions Kurucs	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	13	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	71%	0.05	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Theo Pinson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	12	31%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	25.5	15.3	28.6	1.7	28.2	127.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +34.5%

BOS -1.8%

BKN +12.6%

BKN +4.2%

BKN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	BKN	NBA	BOS	BKN	NBA
this game	14.0	14.5	14.3	96.0	107.8	109.3
season	13.9	14.3		109.9	108.6
opponent	14.0	14.7		109.1	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	13.5	14.0	14.1	14.0
BKN	14.6	14.2	13.7	15.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Wanamaker	28	29	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.18	13	-27	40	10.5	15.3	-4.86	15.9	14.0	1.88
Semi Ojeleye	19	19	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.15	11	-25	36	11.3	14.6	-3.33	16.8	14.0	2.82
Guerschon Yabusele	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	13.2	14.0	-0.74	23.7	14.3	9.39
Greg Monroe	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	11.0	14.0	-3.02	24.5	14.3	10.15
Robert Williams III	17	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-13	12	15.2	13.7	1.47	14.2	14.6	-0.38
Daniel Theis	44	44	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-15	16	11.9	15.6	-3.70	15.5	13.8	1.67
Jaylen Brown	68	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-4	-6	13.2	15.5	-2.22	14.5	14.7	-0.22
Gordon Hayward	60	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-6	-2	12.9	15.5	-2.57	14.4	14.8	-0.47
Jayson Tatum	62	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	-2	-10	14.9	12.4	2.52	14.3	14.9	-0.61
Aron Baynes	34	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-5	-4	15.0	13.4	1.58	14.8	14.4	0.43
Marcus Smart	45	47	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.02	-17	3	-20	15.2	13.0	2.17	13.9	15.1	-1.22
Marcus Morris	60	61	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.00	-19	5	-24	15.3	12.0	3.27	14.3	15.0	-0.71
Terry Rozier	57	57	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.11	-23	9	-32	15.9	11.4	4.54	12.8	16.7	-3.87

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Harris	72	70	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.10	26	-12	38	14.0	15.8	-1.77	15.5	10.4	5.09
Jarrett Allen	61	60	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.08	25	-11	36	13.5	16.0	-2.51	15.7	11.3	4.39
D'Angelo Russell	63	62	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.12	24	-10	34	13.4	16.3	-2.89	15.5	11.4	4.14
Treveon Graham	31	33	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-4	22	13.5	15.0	-1.44	15.1	13.4	1.73
Spencer Dinwiddie	53	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	6	2	15.3	13.8	1.49	12.5	15.4	-2.92
DeMarre Carroll	63	61	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	16	-18	14.0	15.4	-1.44	13.5	14.7	-1.20
Theo Pinson	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	24.5	14.3	10.15	11.0	14.0	-3.02
Caris LeVert	62	62	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.15	-7	21	-28	15.4	13.2	2.18	12.6	16.2	-3.63
Jared Dudley	50	48	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	18	-22	15.8	13.3	2.45	12.5	15.3	-2.85
Rodions Kurucs	14	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	19	-24	13.4	14.7	-1.38	15.7	13.7	2.03
Ed Davis	39	40	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.20	-11	25	-36	16.5	13.3	3.22	11.3	15.7	-4.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 118, MIN 124	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1	94.7%
PHX 93, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
SEA 98, PHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.93,1,1,1	94.6%