NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	115		Excitement	7.5 [253]		MVP	Naji Marshall (DAL): +34.1%
Dallas Mavericks	123		Comeback	3.8 [279]		LVP	Al Horford (GSW): -10.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.21	0.13	0.04	27	68%	0.35	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
De'Anthony Melton	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.09	0.05	15	61%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Jonathan Kuminga	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Moses Moody	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.03	0.04	7	80%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Buddy Hield	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	7	40%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gui Santos	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinten Post	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Richard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brandin Podziemski	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	13	32%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Al Horford	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.20	0.14	-0.00	12	94%	0.38	4	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Max Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	-0.00	16	62%	0.26	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.01	4	77%	0.16	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Brandon Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	10	73%	0.17	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.00
Ryan Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.06	-0.04	6	42%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles Kelly	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Cisse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cooper Flagg	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	18	49%	0.09	4	-0.12	7	57%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	0.0	27.5	0.0	31.7	0.0	43.6	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +26.0%

DAL +13.7%

DAL +35.2%

GSW -25.3%

DAL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DAL	NBA	GSW	DAL	NBA
this game	12.6	13.6	14.2	105.5	111.8	113.5
season	14.7	13.8		113.1	109.2
opponent	14.0	13.6		112.5	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.3	12.2	13.0	13.0	12.6
DAL	11.9	12.6	15.8	14.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Kuminga	49	50	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-12	16	12.3	12.9	-0.61	12.2	14.8	-2.58
Gui Santos	69	70	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.15	-3	-5	2	13.1	11.8	1.22	13.7	13.4	0.32
De'Anthony Melton	98	98	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-6	4	12.8	10.9	1.91	13.7	13.2	0.42
Brandin Podziemski	107	108	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-2	-4	12.7	10.5	2.16	13.7	7.5	6.24
Al Horford	105	105	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	1	-10	12.8	7.7	5.06	13.7	12.4	1.29
Buddy Hield	88	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	3	-14	13.1	10.8	2.31	13.7	13.5	0.19
Stephen Curry	93	92	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.17	-19	11	-30	13.1	9.9	3.22	13.8	12.6	1.28
Moses Moody	74	73	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.23	-18	10	-28	13.3	11.3	2.01	13.9	13.1	0.78
Quinten Post	35	34	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.18	-23	15	-38	13.5	12.2	1.31	14.0	13.5	0.50
Will Richard	95	94	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.27	-20	12	-32	13.2	8.9	4.32	13.5	14.2	-0.73
Draymond Green	73	73	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.13	-25	17	-42	13.8	10.3	3.46	13.6	13.7	-0.15
Gary Payton II	80	80	-0.96	0.46	-1.42	-0.14	-28	20	-48	13.7	9.7	4.00	13.5	13.9	-0.42

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Naji Marshall	91	90	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.27	24	-16	40	13.8	12.6	1.20	13.2	10.0	3.18
Cooper Flagg	75	76	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.13	22	-14	36	13.8	13.2	0.58	13.1	11.5	1.59
Dwight Powell	65	66	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.11	21	-13	34	13.7	13.5	0.16	13.5	11.2	2.34
Miles Kelly	23	24	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.23	16	-8	24	14.5	13.4	1.13	13.7	12.3	1.39
Caleb Martin	67	67	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.27	11	-3	14	13.6	13.7	-0.04	13.7	11.0	2.72
Max Christie	107	107	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-3	14	13.6	15.7	-2.10	12.8	5.0	7.77
Brandon Williams	109	109	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	0	8	13.7	1.0	12.74	12.6	0.0	12.62
Ryan Nembhard	27	26	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-2	12	13.7	13.6	0.10	13.4	12.4	1.00
P.J. Washington	108	107	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.29	6	2	4	13.7	7.5	6.24	12.7	10.5	2.16
Moussa Cisse	43	43	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	10	-12	12.5	14.4	-1.91	12.2	12.9	-0.76
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	30	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	11	-14	11.9	14.3	-2.33	12.3	12.7	-0.43
Klay Thompson	80	78	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	-0.02	-14	22	-36	13.4	14.3	-0.97	12.8	12.1	0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.53,0.59,0.79,0.95,0.97,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 85, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.8,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1	91.9%
UTA 99, HOU 120	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.56,0.82,0.81,0.87,1,1,1,1,1	91.5%
DEN 110, TOR 114	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.38,0.18,0.3,0.33,0.47,0.59,0.75,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.96,1,1	91.4%