inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 110 Excitement6.9 [482] MVPFred VanVleet (TOR): +26.5%
Toronto Raptors 114 Comeback4.4 [549] LVPJamal Murray (DEN): -20.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Millsap0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.170.060.001280%0.2300.001100%0.01
Nikola Jokic0.170,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.170.100.090.022163%0.223-0.054100%0.03
Trey Lyles0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.010.006108%0.191-0.0600%0.00
Torrey Craig0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.001150%0.0500.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00460%0.0300.002100%0.01
Wilson Chandler-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.050.02-0.030.04750%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Devin Harris-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.00544%-0.002-0.07683%0.01
Will Barton-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.00-0.011533%-0.043-0.0700%0.00
Jamal Murray-0.200,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2-0.05-0.110.041841%-0.112-0.091100%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Fred VanVleet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.150.11-0.01788%0.2600.00367%-0.02
Pascal Siakam0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.130.130.040.06-0.031055%0.141-0.002100%0.01
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.110.110.070.060.02875%0.131-0.0200%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.04-0.011159%0.1000.0000%0.00
Delon Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.040.00475%0.111-0.0400%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.03-0.001262%0.122-0.0500%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.03-0.00-0.011062%0.092-0.05475%0.01
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.000.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
OG Anunoby0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.00658%0.0200.0000%0.00
Lucas Nogueira0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.030.021055%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.001123%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.01.825.214.827.02.529.6129.9
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +46.1%
DEN -8.4%
DEN -6.7%
TOR +18.5%
TOR +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENTORNBADENTORNBA
this game15.315.414.7117.0122.6107.5
season14.714.6111.2112.7
opponent14.814.7105.9109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.814.315.716.315.3
TOR13.218.414.315.715.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Torrey Craig30310.04-0.540.58-0.084-81214.315.7-1.3716.514.81.65
Mason Plumlee25250.03-0.530.570.001-5613.715.8-2.1113.616.0-2.45
Jamal Murray8078-0.13-0.370.25-0.244-81215.314.90.4015.315.6-0.29
Nikola Jokic8078-0.15-0.350.20-0.274-81215.314.90.4015.315.6-0.29
Trey Lyles2425-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.26-2-2014.915.4-0.5319.213.95.26
Devin Harris4445-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.23-73-1014.915.6-0.6315.615.10.52
Will Barton6463-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.29-51-615.414.90.4915.215.6-0.41
Wilson Chandler6462-0.520.02-0.54-0.28-84-1215.714.31.3714.816.5-1.65
Paul Millsap5958-0.580.08-0.67-0.26-117-1816.014.01.9714.516.7-2.18

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jakob Poeltl36360.62-0.120.740.417-31015.115.5-0.4915.615.10.56
Delon Wright34330.56-0.060.610.4731216.814.52.3214.715.6-0.88
CJ Miles36360.54-0.040.570.1513-92215.115.5-0.4015.814.90.92
Fred VanVleet48460.290.210.080.44-59-1416.514.22.3214.516.0-1.54
Pascal Siakam46450.270.230.050.48-711-1816.114.61.4914.416.0-1.62
Serge Ibaka47490.230.27-0.04-0.0610-61614.616.1-1.4916.014.41.62
Kyle Lowry64670.190.31-0.120.1613-215.215.7-0.5415.115.7-0.61
Norman Powell660.140.36-0.22-0.015-1611.315.6-4.3019.515.04.52
Jonas Valanciunas4345-0.010.51-0.53-0.0413-215.415.30.0315.515.10.39
DeMar DeRozan5961-0.060.56-0.61-0.0913-214.516.8-2.3215.614.70.88
Lucas Nogueira1413-0.100.60-0.710.01-48-1216.115.20.8413.615.5-1.92
OG Anunoby3233-0.150.65-0.81-0.01-59-1415.015.5-0.4915.315.20.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.38,0.18,0.3,0.33,0.47,0.59,0.75,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.96,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 95, MIA 1030.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.53,0.68,0.71,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,192.9%
NYK 103, CHI 1100.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.37,0.59,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.91,192.3%
MIN 85, GSW 960.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.26,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.48,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,1,192.2%