NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	7.8 [278]		MVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): +32.2%
Chicago Bulls	110		Comeback	3.2 [603]		LVP	Jared Jeffries (NYK): -13.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0.32	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.32	0.19	0.13	0.01	15	87%	0.36	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	12	71%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.00	16	72%	0.26	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Chris Duhon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.03	-0.05	4	25%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13	-0.02	-0.09	0.02	12	57%	0.01	4	-0.15	6	83%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.08	-0.00	16	69%	0.28	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.09	0.02	16	51%	0.13	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.03
Ben Gordon	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	15	52%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.06
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	12	62%	0.14	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	10	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	17	46%	0.03	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.5	28.2	15.5	22.5	1.8	38.2	132.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -40.7%

CHI +40.3%

CHI +34.2%

CHI +15.1%

CHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	14.9	15.5	106.2	112.2	106.4
season	13.8	14.8		106.2	106.3
opponent	15.7	15.5		107.2	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.2	12.8	16.0	13.9	14.6
CHI	14.5	13.4	15.3	16.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	64	66	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.17	8	-15	23	15.6	12.8	2.82	15.3	14.2	1.04
Chris Duhon	57	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-6	5	14.6	14.7	-0.14	14.7	15.2	-0.56
Quentin Richardson	51	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-2	-3	13.8	15.5	-1.72	14.3	15.6	-1.30
Larry Hughes	41	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-6	5	13.8	15.2	-1.37	15.3	14.7	0.60
David Lee	65	67	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-5	3	15.2	13.4	1.76	14.5	15.9	-1.44
Chris Wilcox	32	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	-2	-3	13.4	15.2	-1.76	15.9	14.5	1.44
Jared Jeffries	40	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	15.9	13.7	2.18	16.2	14.1	2.14
Wilson Chandler	85	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.35	-6	-1	-5	14.7	14.3	0.33	15.1	13.3	1.81
Nate Robinson	50	50	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.17	-17	10	-27	13.8	15.4	-1.61	13.7	16.2	-2.49

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	44	45	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.31	18	-11	29	16.2	13.9	2.25	15.2	14.1	1.04
Kirk Hinrich	71	70	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-3	13	14.6	15.6	-0.98	13.8	16.7	-2.89
John Salmons	83	82	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	1	5	15.0	14.3	0.69	15.1	11.8	3.33
Derrick Rose	78	78	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.35	2	5	-3	15.2	13.9	1.28	14.5	15.2	-0.74
Tyrus Thomas	73	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	4	-1	14.7	15.6	-0.97	14.9	13.8	1.05
Ben Gordon	77	77	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.05	3	4	-1	14.2	17.5	-3.32	14.2	16.0	-1.80
Aaron Gray	5	6	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	7	-7	13.4	15.0	-1.60	11.7	14.8	-3.15
Joakim Noah	49	47	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.13	3	4	-1	13.9	15.9	-2.04	14.6	14.6	-0.00
Linton Johnson	13	11	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.03	-6	13	-19	17.0	14.6	2.40	14.5	14.6	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.37,0.59,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 76, NOK 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.26,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.95,0.97,0.89,1,1,1	92.6%
NOH 82, GSW 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.99,1	92.5%
OKC 85, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.25,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.4%