NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	6.5 [557]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +50.3%
Houston Rockets	120		Comeback	5.6 [561]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -8.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.19	0.12	-0.03	18	70%	0.34	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.04	12	54%	0.18	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.04	0.03	15	57%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.05	-0.02	8	44%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	33%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	12	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	7	43%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.23,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5	0.50	0.31	0.25	0.05	18	85%	0.50	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Clint Capela	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.16	0.15	-0.01	12	83%	0.34	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.06	0.04	9	75%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.03	0.03	13	60%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	17	59%	0.10	5	-0.12	10	100%	0.07
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	25.2	14.7	25.3	1.8	26.4	120.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +37.9%

HOU +16.7%

HOU +12.3%

UTA -10.3%

UTA -6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	16.6	14.3	14.7	106.5	129.0	107.5
season	15.1	14.6		106.6	112.8
opponent	14.8	14.6		105.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.4	15.2	17.1	17.9	16.6
HOU	12.9	14.8	13.6	16.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	45	44	0.32	-0.82	1.13	0.26	2	-23	25	16.8	16.5	0.23	15.0	13.8	1.18
Rodney Hood	59	58	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.21	-1	-20	19	16.7	16.4	0.30	15.1	13.0	2.14
Alec Burks	32	31	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.14	6	-27	33	16.9	16.5	0.41	13.7	14.7	-0.98
Royce O'Neale	4	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-21	21	13.0	16.8	-3.80	14.0	14.4	-0.35
Ekpe Udoh	53	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-18	15	16.7	16.6	0.06	14.4	14.2	0.26
Joe Ingles	72	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.34	-21	0	-21	16.6	16.8	-0.16	14.4	14.0	0.43
Jonas Jerebko	34	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-12	3	16.9	16.5	0.44	13.1	15.0	-1.84
Donovan Mitchell	42	43	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.18	-15	-6	-9	16.0	17.1	-1.11	13.2	15.3	-2.05
Ricky Rubio	70	70	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	0.14	-32	11	-43	17.0	15.4	1.59	14.6	13.7	0.90
Joe Johnson	54	56	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	0.12	-32	11	-43	16.3	17.1	-0.72	14.4	14.2	0.24

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	67	67	0.81	-0.31	1.13	-0.21	35	-14	49	14.5	14.0	0.52	16.7	16.5	0.13
Trevor Ariza	79	79	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.07	25	-4	29	14.6	12.8	1.82	16.7	16.2	0.49
PJ Tucker	65	65	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.26	11	10	1	14.4	14.1	0.27	17.0	15.9	1.11
Eric Gordon	67	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	7	7	14.8	13.2	1.53	16.9	16.1	0.77
Chris Paul	69	68	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.20	20	1	19	14.1	15.1	-1.07	16.4	17.3	-0.94
James Harden	74	74	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.30	13	8	5	14.3	14.6	-0.37	16.1	18.5	-2.38
Tarik Black	7	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.02	-5	26	-31	13.7	14.4	-0.67	15.4	16.8	-1.38
Ryan Anderson	37	37	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.06	-8	29	-37	13.4	15.0	-1.63	17.1	16.3	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.56,0.82,0.81,0.87,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 90, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	92.1%
MIN 85, GSW 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.26,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.48,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	91.8%
ATL 90, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.96,1	91.5%