NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	90		Excitement	6.6 [389]		MVP	Elton Brand (PHI): +42.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	3.6 [446]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -11.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.15	0.18	0.02	0.05	18	72%	0.24	3	-0.09	11	82%	-0.01
Ivan Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	5	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	13	58%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Marvin Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	8	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	8	36%	-0.07	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.17,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.21	0.24	0.02	12	83%	0.45	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	12	64%	0.15	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.04	0.02	8	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	11	41%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	46%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	7	44%	-0.02	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	24.4	15.7	26.2	2.6	34.5	128.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +27.7%

PHI +12.5%

PHI +10.7%

PHI +1.6%

ATL -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	17.1	16.2	15.6	103.4	110.5	102.8
season	15.7	15.6		102.5	101.0
opponent	16.1	15.9		97.6	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.4	20.0	17.5	15.5	17.1
PHI	15.9	15.1	15.2	18.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	58	59	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.24	8	-13	21	16.4	18.3	-1.86	16.4	15.8	0.65
Ivan Johnson	28	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-7	9	18.2	16.5	1.69	16.6	16.0	0.57
Zaza Pachulia	44	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.07	-5	0	-5	17.7	16.4	1.38	15.3	17.2	-1.85
Josh Smith	68	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.27	2	-7	9	16.5	19.0	-2.47	16.2	16.3	-0.05
Willie Green	34	32	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	3	-11	17.3	16.9	0.42	16.3	16.2	0.15
Marvin Williams	49	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-2	-1	16.2	18.2	-2.07	16.9	15.3	1.62
Kirk Hinrich	73	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.32	-11	6	-17	17.5	14.9	2.55	16.1	16.7	-0.62
Joe Johnson	81	80	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.36	-10	5	-15	17.3	14.3	2.94	16.1	18.2	-2.09

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	56	57	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.44	13	-8	21	15.5	17.6	-2.17	16.4	18.4	-2.08
Andre Iguodala	76	78	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.42	10	-5	15	15.9	18.9	-3.03	17.2	15.9	1.32
Elton Brand	66	66	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.39	11	-6	17	16.2	16.4	-0.23	17.6	15.4	2.23
Jodie Meeks	50	51	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-7	19	16.7	15.6	1.14	17.0	17.2	-0.17
Spencer Hawes	50	50	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	8	-11	15.8	16.8	-1.05	16.6	17.6	-1.01
Evan Turner	55	55	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	8	-11	15.8	16.9	-1.12	17.0	17.1	-0.09
Thaddeus Young	35	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	4	-3	17.4	15.4	2.04	18.4	16.2	2.11
Tony Battie	13	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	11	-17	17.3	16.0	1.28	15.3	17.4	-2.13
Louis Williams	29	30	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.05	-10	15	-25	17.5	15.6	1.90	17.2	17.0	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.52,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.99,1	92.7%
CHH 92, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.98,1	92.6%
MIN 90, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	92.3%