NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	85		Excitement	6.4 [530]		MVP	Dana Barros (BOS): +14.9%
Boston Celtics	95		Comeback	2.2 [498]		LVP	Al Harrington (IND): -17.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	9	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	14	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Jalen Rose	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.06	0.03	17	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	16	47%	-0.02	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Mark Jackson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.06	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	9	11%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.13	0.01	11	62%	0.20	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.05	0.03	6	73%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	15	57%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pervis Ellison	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	12	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	6	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	4	40%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Antoine Walker	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	14	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.0	28.1	15.7	25.1	2.3	37.6	132.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +45.7%

IND -4.7%

BOS +3.5%

BOS +3.3%

BOS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	16.6	14.7	15.2	92.4	103.3	101.7
season	15.4	14.7		106.5	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.1		103.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.4	15.8	16.2	19.5	16.6
BOS	14.0	12.4	15.1	18.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	54	56	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.20	7	-17	24	15.8	17.6	-1.77	14.8	14.7	0.07
Mark Jackson	68	65	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-12	14	15.2	20.3	-5.04	14.9	14.3	0.68
Chris Mullin	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-6	2	14.9	16.7	-1.86	11.4	15.1	-3.65
Sam Perkins	28	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-6	2	19.8	15.1	4.68	14.3	15.0	-0.70
Al Harrington	36	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	0	-10	19.4	14.7	4.68	14.8	14.7	0.06
Reggie Miller	76	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-7	4	15.0	23.9	-8.92	15.2	12.3	2.87
Rik Smits	62	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-7	4	15.5	18.9	-3.42	14.8	14.6	0.24
Travis Best	22	23	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	3	-16	20.0	15.5	4.57	15.0	14.7	0.29
Jalen Rose	69	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.24	-8	-2	-6	16.6	16.6	-0.06	14.6	15.0	-0.41
Austin Croshere	36	35	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.10	-14	4	-18	18.3	15.5	2.81	14.4	14.9	-0.50

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	28	29	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.22	16	-6	22	15.7	14.3	1.40	19.1	15.4	3.76
Dana Barros	36	35	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-1	12	15.0	14.6	0.47	19.9	14.5	5.31
Tony Battie	42	42	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-1	12	15.8	13.8	2.01	17.6	15.7	1.94
Calbert Cheaney	43	42	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	2	6	15.1	14.4	0.71	19.4	14.2	5.22
Paul Pierce	71	71	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	2	6	14.5	15.5	-1.02	15.5	20.2	-4.70
Adrian Griffin	60	60	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	8	-6	14.9	14.4	0.56	16.1	17.3	-1.19
Pervis Ellison	31	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	11	-12	14.5	14.9	-0.34	14.8	17.5	-2.70
Eric Williams	10	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	8	-6	13.6	14.9	-1.28	14.9	16.8	-1.88
Vitaly Potapenko	26	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	10	-10	12.8	15.5	-2.64	16.8	16.5	0.28
Kenny Anderson	56	57	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	11	-12	14.6	15.0	-0.47	14.5	19.9	-5.31
Antoine Walker	57	56	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	16	-22	14.4	15.2	-0.79	15.3	18.5	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.8,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 86, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
MEM 84, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.69,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,1	93.2%
CLE 86, PHX 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.96,0.94,1,1	92.9%