NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	84		Excitement	6.4 [533]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +6.4%
Detroit Pistons	91		Comeback	2.7 [751]		LVP	Lorenzen Wright (MEM): -16.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	12	67%	0.13	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Brevin Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	0.04	-0.07	0.03	18	66%	0.08	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	10	44%	-0.05	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Lorenzen Wright	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	9	27%	-0.12	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.06	0.01	8	70%	0.14	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.06
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	20	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	6	79%	0.09	3	-0.08	7	71%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	7	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Mikki Moore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.03	-0.03	8	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	11	38%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	7	59%	0.04	4	-0.14	3	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	24.0	16.0	26.0	2.0	33.0	128.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +25.9%

DET +11.9%

MEM -4.8%

DET +13.6%

DET +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DET	NBA	MEM	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	16.1	15.6	89.4	98.9	102.3
season	15.7	15.7		96.0	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.2		99.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.2	15.3	13.5	14.6	14.9
DET	14.5	15.3	17.2	17.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Austin	23	25	0.27	-0.77	1.05	-0.08	12	-19	31	14.9	14.9	-0.06	18.5	15.2	3.32
Nick Anderson	28	28	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.15	7	-14	21	15.9	14.5	1.39	17.1	15.6	1.45
Brevin Knight	34	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-8	9	15.8	14.4	1.33	16.7	15.7	1.00
Rodney Buford	32	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-3	-1	14.2	15.3	-1.01	17.7	15.2	2.43
Grant Long	44	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	6	-19	15.5	14.4	1.01	14.5	17.5	-3.00
Pau Gasol	79	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-4	1	14.5	17.3	-2.88	15.7	18.0	-2.31
Shane Battier	89	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-5	3	14.8	16.8	-1.99	16.1	14.8	1.34
Jason Williams	70	67	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.26	-14	7	-21	14.7	15.5	-0.73	15.9	16.4	-0.46
Lorenzen Wright	71	67	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.22	-19	12	-31	14.9	14.9	0.06	15.2	18.5	-3.32

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	70	72	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.33	20	-13	33	16.0	16.4	-0.45	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Jon Barry	80	83	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	-1	9	16.1	15.8	0.27	14.7	16.8	-2.16
Chucky Atkins	46	46	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	2	3	16.1	16.0	0.13	15.1	14.7	0.34
Rodney White	34	33	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	6	-5	15.9	16.1	-0.20	16.3	14.2	2.09
Clifford Robinson	69	73	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	3	1	16.0	16.3	-0.32	14.6	15.9	-1.21
Michael Curry	70	72	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	2	3	16.1	16.0	0.09	14.6	16.0	-1.42
Dana Barros	46	48	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	5	-3	16.0	16.1	-0.13	14.7	15.1	-0.34
Zeljko Rebraca	33	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	12	-17	17.0	15.5	1.50	16.2	14.3	1.93
Mikki Moore	12	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	12	-17	14.5	16.3	-1.80	13.2	15.1	-1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.69,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 101, OKC 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.68,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.78,0.75,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.98,1	93.8%
IND 85, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.8,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.2%
UTA 80, SAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.96,1	93.1%