NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	101		Excitement	7.2 [422]		MVP	Corey Brewer (OKC): +18.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	106		Comeback	1.3 [1096]		LVP	Zach Randolph (SAC): -13.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Jackson	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.06	0.00	10	75%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16	0.12	0.04	0.00	11	70%	0.20	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.02	7	56%	0.07	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Mason	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Garrett Temple	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.04	9	75%	0.09	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Buddy Hield	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	12	41%	-0.05	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	8	37%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	18	28%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.07	0.01	8	70%	0.18	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	2	150%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.00	14	70%	0.17	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	70%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	18	52%	0.13	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	2	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Huestis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	19	41%	0.00	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.0	27.4	16.8	24.6	1.7	27.3	126.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +58.7%

OKC +2.8%

SAC -16.9%

OKC +4.6%

OKC +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	OKC	NBA	SAC	OKC	NBA
this game	16.4	13.8	14.7	105.2	111.6	107.5
season	15.4	14.2		102.9	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.7		106.1	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.2	18.2	14.5	16.7	16.4
OKC	13.8	14.4	13.2	14.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Jackson	58	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-3	1	15.1	18.2	-3.12	12.9	15.2	-2.29
Willie Cauley-Stein	56	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-9	13	16.0	16.8	-0.76	14.6	12.6	1.99
Zach Randolph	50	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	4	-13	16.6	16.1	0.51	12.2	15.4	-3.11
Kosta Koufos	32	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	1	-7	17.1	16.0	1.11	13.2	14.1	-0.98
De'Aaron Fox	70	69	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-2	-1	15.8	18.0	-2.20	13.3	15.1	-1.77
Vince Carter	44	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-5	5	16.7	16.0	0.73	14.6	13.1	1.49
Frank Mason	26	26	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-3	1	18.0	15.8	2.20	15.1	13.3	1.77
Bogdan Bogdanovic	62	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	1	-7	15.9	17.2	-1.32	13.0	15.1	-2.10
Buddy Hield	27	27	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-3	1	17.6	15.9	1.67	15.6	13.1	2.57
Garrett Temple	55	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.38	1	-6	7	16.9	15.6	1.38	14.9	12.2	2.70

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	72	73	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	1	3	13.8	13.7	0.18	15.7	18.3	-2.56
Carmelo Anthony	65	65	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.29	5	0	5	13.4	14.6	-1.23	15.5	18.1	-2.53
Alex Abrines	12	12	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	0	5	13.9	13.8	0.15	20.0	15.8	4.17
Jerami Grant	41	40	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	4	-3	14.5	13.2	1.31	16.5	16.2	0.29
Paul George	79	79	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	2	1	13.4	15.5	-2.06	15.3	21.4	-6.07
Terrance Ferguson	20	20	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	0	5	14.1	13.7	0.39	19.3	15.6	3.72
Steven Adams	44	47	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	-4	13	13.1	14.4	-1.26	17.2	15.5	1.68
Raymond Felton	29	29	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	4	-3	14.7	13.4	1.35	18.5	15.4	3.05
Josh Huestis	6	6	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	5	-5	15.3	13.7	1.65	21.8	16.0	5.84
Corey Brewer	67	69	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	8	-11	13.5	14.5	-1.01	15.4	18.9	-3.48
Patrick Patterson	40	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.11	-5	10	-15	14.4	13.3	1.05	16.5	16.2	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.68,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.78,0.75,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, NJN 105	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.97,1,1	94.4%
MEM 84, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.69,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,1	93.8%
ATL 101, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.59,0.63,0.4,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.99,1	92.9%