NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	7.1 [396]		MVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): +10.1%
New Jersey Nets	105		Comeback	1.7 [711]		LVP	Dale Davis (IND): -16.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick McKey	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	6	57%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Antonio Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	73%	0.07	3	-0.05	14	86%	0.03
Eddie Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Erick Dampier	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	62%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	14	56%	0.02	4	-0.14	8	100%	0.05
Vincent Askew	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	4	40%	-0.08	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.04
Dale Davis	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	7	33%	-0.08	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.01	10	86%	0.21	5	-0.11	16	94%	0.04
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	-0.00	15	57%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	6	43%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	15	61%	0.15	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Yinka Dare	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	19	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	8	35%	-0.01	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Lloyd Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	6	17%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.7	26.3	15.5	31.2	1.8	33.2	133.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +34.2%

IND -11.8%

NJN +9.9%

NJN +15.7%

NJN +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	13.2	16.9	15.6	97.9	110.5	104.4
season	15.3	15.4		103.6	101.7
opponent	14.9	16.3		106.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.2	12.3	14.2	13.5	13.2
NJN	17.0	15.4	17.7	17.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vincent Askew	43	44	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.07	1	-12	13	11.8	14.4	-2.56	15.8	17.9	-2.15
Erick Dampier	34	36	0.04	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-13	15	11.0	14.5	-3.48	16.1	17.4	-1.27
Eddie Johnson	32	33	0.04	-0.55	0.59	-0.13	6	-17	23	11.5	14.1	-2.67	15.2	17.9	-2.67
Jerome Allen	42	41	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-9	7	11.9	14.3	-2.35	15.3	18.1	-2.79
Antonio Davis	70	67	-0.14	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-8	5	13.0	14.0	-0.98	16.4	18.1	-1.62
Derrick McKey	44	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-5	-1	14.6	12.1	2.52	18.7	15.4	3.31
Duane Ferrell	24	22	-0.35	-0.16	-0.19	-0.12	-8	-3	-5	16.2	12.3	3.89	18.9	16.3	2.52
Travis Best	58	58	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.18	-10	-1	-9	13.6	12.7	0.85	17.4	16.2	1.12
Reggie Miller	68	66	-0.74	0.23	-0.97	-0.21	-18	7	-25	14.1	11.2	2.92	17.6	15.4	2.13
Dale Davis	65	64	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.27	-17	6	-23	14.2	11.3	2.89	17.6	15.5	2.14

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	83	83	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.23	16	-5	21	16.5	20.1	-3.61	13.2	13.6	-0.42
Robert Pack	77	77	0.62	-0.11	0.73	0.24	13	-2	15	16.7	17.8	-1.12	13.1	14.0	-0.94
Kendall Gill	77	79	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.01	15	-4	19	17.1	16.2	0.94	13.5	12.1	1.38
Kerry Kittles	78	78	0.37	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	6	-1	17.5	14.5	2.99	13.4	12.6	0.85
Xavier McDaniel	45	44	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.16	3	8	-5	17.2	16.7	0.52	13.1	13.4	-0.34
Tony Massenburg	57	59	0.11	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	6	-1	17.1	16.7	0.32	13.4	13.0	0.45
Lloyd Daniels	45	45	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	11	-11	16.3	17.5	-1.17	12.9	13.6	-0.72
Khalid Reeves	8	9	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	11	-11	15.5	17.1	-1.56	13.2	13.3	-0.03
Yinka Dare	5	6	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	0.02	-2	13	-15	20.6	16.7	3.88	13.7	13.2	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 101, OKC 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.68,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.78,0.75,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.98,1	94.4%
IND 76, HOU 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.96,1,1,1	92.8%
IND 82, POR 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.8,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.68,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.86,0.95,0.99,0.96,1	92.7%