NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	115		Excitement	8.9 [126]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DEN): +44.0%
Denver Nuggets	121		Comeback	4.3 [345]		LVP	Tre Johnson (WAS): -9.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyshawn George	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.18	0.16	0.06	0.05	20	64%	0.20	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Khris Middleton	0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	13	57%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Marvin Bagley III	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	6	67%	0.12	1	-0.04	9	44%	-0.09
Justin Champagnie	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	11	57%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jamir Watkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Riley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bub Carrington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	14	46%	0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Alex Sarr	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.08	-0.00	12	52%	0.04	2	-0.11	7	29%	-0.07
Tre Johnson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	10	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.19	0.25	0.01	18	73%	0.48	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Jamal Murray	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.23,0.15,0.36,0.41,0.42	0.42	0.22	0.25	0.04	24	75%	0.66	5	-0.23	8	87%	0.01
Spencer Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	4	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peyton Watson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	14	58%	0.07	2	-0.01	8	50%	-0.06
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.06	0.01	8	44%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Zeke Nnaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Strawther	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Pickett	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	30.2	0.0	27.9	0.0	32.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +78.9%

WAS -1.0%

WAS -22.6%

WAS -7.8%

DEN +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DEN	NBA	WAS	DEN	NBA
this game	13.2	15.1	14.2	112.7	119.8	113.6
season	13.8	14.8		108.5	119.6
opponent	14.1	14.3		115.6	119.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.3	11.7	15.4	13.8	13.2
DEN	15.2	15.1	15.9	14.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Bagley III	71	70	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.14	-7	1	-8	13.9	11.6	2.24	15.0	15.5	-0.59
Jamir Watkins	65	65	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.12	-7	1	-8	13.9	12.0	1.93	14.5	16.3	-1.81
Justin Champagnie	92	90	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-3	0	13.5	10.7	2.78	15.2	14.3	0.97
Will Riley	70	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	5	-16	14.2	11.1	3.12	15.2	15.0	0.20
Bub Carrington	96	95	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.30	-8	2	-10	13.5	8.8	4.65	15.0	17.8	-2.86
Kyshawn George	91	90	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.34	-7	1	-8	12.7	17.1	-4.35	15.2	14.9	0.26
Khris Middleton	78	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	3	-12	13.0	13.8	-0.82	14.9	15.8	-0.93
Alex Sarr	82	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.28	-10	4	-14	13.0	14.1	-1.11	15.2	15.0	0.17
Tre Johnson	77	76	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.29	-12	6	-18	13.0	13.8	-0.84	14.8	16.3	-1.52

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gordon	83	84	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	-2	10	15.0	15.8	-0.85	12.9	14.6	-1.64
Peyton Watson	95	96	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	-1	8	14.7	21.5	-6.76	13.4	10.2	3.23
Tim Hardaway Jr.	101	102	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	15.1	0.0	15.14	13.2	0.0	13.21
Bruce Brown	84	84	0.47	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	-1	8	15.0	16.1	-1.11	13.2	13.1	0.12
Jamal Murray	92	93	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.30	3	3	0	15.1	15.3	-0.21	13.2	12.8	0.47
Julian Strawther	14	14	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	4	-2	12.6	15.6	-2.98	12.2	13.4	-1.15
Jalen Pickett	69	71	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	8	-10	14.9	15.7	-0.85	13.2	13.1	0.11
Zeke Nnaji	65	65	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.14	-1	7	-8	15.1	15.2	-0.13	13.6	12.4	1.21
Spencer Jones	72	75	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.11	-4	10	-14	15.3	14.6	0.73	13.3	12.9	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.77,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 96, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.34,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	91.2%
CLE 80, SAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.26,0.27,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.95,1	91.1%
MIN 97, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.47,0.69,0.81,0.67,0.92,1	90.7%