NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Excitement	8.7 [157]		MVP	Devean George (LAL): +17.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	102		Comeback	7.7 [378]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -14.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rod Strickland	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.08	0.00	5	60%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.06	0.00	8	44%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Troy Hudson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.02	18	68%	0.13	6	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Joe Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	16	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03	-0.04	0.04	0.03	21	55%	0.07	4	-0.10	9	78%	-0.04
Marc Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	-0.00	0.17	-0.00	9	50%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	26	51%	0.02	2	-0.06	15	53%	-0.11
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	8	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Robert Horry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	25	48%	-0.11	1	-0.04	17	94%	0.14

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	3.0	34.1	17.7	27.5	3.0	45.2	159.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -14.8%

LAL +20.9%

LAL +28.2%

LAL +16.6%

MIN -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	15.5	99.0	106.2	101.6
season	14.9	15.4		104.0	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.8		102.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.1	15.9	14.7	14.6	14.8
LAL	14.7	14.0	14.7	16.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	39	37	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.04	4	-9	13	14.1	15.3	-1.23	15.5	14.5	0.95
Marc Jackson	40	39	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-10	15	15.3	14.4	0.90	14.9	14.9	-0.01
Rod Strickland	26	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-6	7	13.2	15.4	-2.21	14.7	14.9	-0.29
Gary Trent	15	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-4	3	12.9	15.2	-2.22	15.8	14.7	1.07
Rasho Nesterovic	44	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-2	-1	15.4	14.3	1.12	16.3	13.7	2.66
Joe Smith	14	13	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	2	-9	11.4	15.4	-4.04	10.0	15.6	-5.64
Anthony Peeler	64	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	-1	-3	15.7	13.2	2.51	14.8	15.0	-0.23
Wally Szczerbiak	83	81	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.40	-4	-1	-3	14.7	15.5	-0.85	14.5	16.9	-2.36
Troy Hudson	73	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.32	-8	3	-11	15.2	13.6	1.58	14.8	15.2	-0.46
Kevin Garnett	92	91	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	3	-11	15.1	10.7	4.42	15.0	12.2	2.82

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Shaw	54	56	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.43	10	-5	15	15.3	14.4	0.88	14.5	15.3	-0.78
Devean George	60	63	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.37	10	-5	15	14.1	16.1	-1.93	14.8	14.8	0.07
Shaquille O'Neal	90	93	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-7	19	15.2	10.2	5.02	15.1	8.8	6.34
Mark Madsen	39	39	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.43	6	-1	7	15.5	14.4	1.07	13.9	15.4	-1.57
Kobe Bryant	95	96	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	0	5	14.9	9.0	5.94	14.6	25.5	-10.91
Rick Fox	11	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	6	-7	17.0	14.6	2.40	14.7	14.8	-0.13
Robert Horry	51	52	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	10	-15	13.9	16.0	-2.12	14.5	15.2	-0.63
Samaki Walker	12	12	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.06	-3	8	-11	14.7	14.9	-0.24	16.7	14.6	2.11
Jannero Pargo	8	7	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	11	-17	13.1	15.0	-1.91	14.6	14.8	-0.26
Derek Fisher	60	62	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.17	-3	8	-11	15.0	14.7	0.33	15.5	13.7	1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.47,0.69,0.81,0.67,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 100, BOS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.46,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.9,1	92.0%
NOH 96, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.34,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	91.7%
MIL 99, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.96,1	91.6%