NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	123		Excitement	9.0 [116]		MVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): +68.7%
San Antonio Spurs	126		Comeback	2.6 [313]		LVP	Julian Champagnie (SAS): -13.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0.69	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.37,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.69	0.36	0.38	0.05	33	72%	0.72	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	14	62%	0.08	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.01
Bones Hyland	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	117%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	13	49%	0.04	2	0.00	9	100%	0.06
Donte DiVincenzo	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.41,0.04,0.04	-0.08	0.11	-0.02	14	39%	0.29	3	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
Leonard Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Juzang	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Clark	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joan Beringer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08	0.06	-0.12	0.03	6	83%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.41,0.31,0.46	0.46	0.18	0.28	-0.01	23	65%	0.50	2	-0.03	14	79%	0.07
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.28	0.28	0.10	0.17	-0.00	14	67%	0.30	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.06
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.26	0.26	0.10	0.16	-0.00	17	66%	0.29	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.03
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindy Waters III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carter Bryant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Castle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	8	36%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.05
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	7	44%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.5	27.9	0.0	34.1	0.0	37.0	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +20.5%

MIN -13.0%

SAS +29.3%

SAS +11.3%

SAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	13.3	15.0	14.2	119.4	126.0	113.6
season	14.0	13.9		116.2	115.7
opponent	14.4	14.1		111.1	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.5	15.3	13.4	11.4	13.3
SAS	14.7	12.9	16.6	15.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joan Beringer	69	67	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.48	20	-23	43	13.5	13.0	0.57	15.3	14.5	0.86
Leonard Miller	24	24	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.32	13	-16	29	13.4	13.3	0.03	16.6	14.5	2.10
Naz Reid	14	13	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-3	3	12.4	13.5	-1.15	10.8	15.7	-4.81
Jaylen Clark	58	57	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.28	8	-11	19	14.1	12.4	1.69	15.4	14.6	0.75
Bones Hyland	40	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-1	-1	14.9	12.3	2.58	14.8	15.2	-0.39
Donte DiVincenzo	81	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.49	7	-10	17	13.5	12.6	0.91	14.6	16.3	-1.71
Mike Conley	101	99	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-2	1	13.6	3.0	10.55	15.2	3.0	12.15
Johnny Juzang	26	25	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.27	-26	23	-49	15.3	12.7	2.57	12.9	15.7	-2.81
Anthony Edwards	103	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	13.3	0.0	13.35	15.0	0.0	15.03
Julius Randle	96	92	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	4	-11	13.6	10.1	3.44	14.8	18.1	-3.36
Jaden McDaniels	100	97	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.37	-6	3	-9	13.3	15.3	-2.04	14.8	22.3	-7.53

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Wembanyama	88	91	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	-1	5	14.5	18.9	-4.42	13.2	14.7	-1.59
Keldon Johnson	100	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	15.0	0.0	15.03	13.3	0.0	13.35
De'Aaron Fox	100	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	15.0	0.0	15.03	13.3	0.0	13.35
Julian Champagnie	89	92	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.51	-3	6	-9	14.9	16.4	-1.50	13.6	11.1	2.53
Harrison Barnes	74	76	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	6	-9	14.6	16.2	-1.52	14.3	10.6	3.79
Luke Kornet	83	85	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.42	-5	8	-13	14.9	15.8	-0.89	13.8	11.4	2.31
Carter Bryant	30	31	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	-3	9	14.0	15.5	-1.52	14.3	12.9	1.35
Stephon Castle	74	77	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	-1	5	14.8	15.7	-0.84	13.9	11.7	2.22
Lindy Waters III	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.32	-13	16	-29	16.6	14.5	2.10	13.4	13.3	0.03
Dylan Harper	69	72	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.23	-11	14	-25	15.7	13.5	2.15	13.9	12.1	1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.45,0.85,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.67,0.42,1	92.4%
PHX 94, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.72,1	91.6%
NOH 100, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.75,0.67,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.42,1	91.1%