NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	98		Excitement	8.6 [140]		MVP	Devin Harris (UTA): +79.0%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	18.8 [45]		LVP	Udonis Haslem (MIA): -21.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.63	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.49,0.63	0.23	0.43	0.02	24	69%	0.63	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.20	0.00	0.03	7	129%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.1,0.01,0	0.07	-0.07	0.00	20	61%	0.04	3	-0.04	11	91%	0.05
Joel Anthony	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Mike Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dexter Pittman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mario Chalmers	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	-0.00	6	21%	-0.06	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Norris Cole	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	0.00	8	12%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.22	-0.01	-0.20	0.01	5	40%	-0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.23,0.23,0.79	0.79	0.03	0.75	-0.01	9	52%	0.81	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.07
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	8	65%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	63%	0.07	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.06	-0.00	20	48%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.12
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	14	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	15	29%	-0.17	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	31.5	16.3	24.5	2.4	37.2	141.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA -13.8%

UTA +46.0%

UTA +32.3%

MIA -4.3%

MIA -10.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	UTA	NBA	MIA	UTA	NBA
this game	16.2	17.1	15.6	112.6	115.1	102.8
season	15.5	15.8		105.6	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.8		104.7	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.3	15.7	17.2	16.7	16.2
UTA	16.0	15.6	17.9	19.4	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dexter Pittman	18	19	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.21	-1	0	-1	17.1	16.0	1.07	17.3	17.0	0.22
Mike Miller	21	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	0	-1	16.0	16.3	-0.21	18.6	16.6	2.02
Norris Cole	26	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	6	-13	16.5	16.1	0.42	17.8	16.8	0.97
LeBron James	81	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.53	7	-8	15	16.1	17.8	-1.75	17.2	16.0	1.19
Mario Chalmers	44	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	0	-1	16.5	15.9	0.68	16.5	17.8	-1.37
Shane Battier	60	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	2	-5	16.1	16.5	-0.40	16.5	18.4	-1.87
Joel Anthony	69	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-1	1	16.0	17.1	-1.07	17.0	17.3	-0.22
Udonis Haslem	48	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-2	3	16.3	16.1	0.14	18.4	15.4	2.96
Dwyane Wade	68	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-1	1	16.1	16.5	-0.34	16.2	19.7	-3.47

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	38	38	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.63	2	-1	3	18.2	16.2	2.05	15.8	16.5	-0.69
Devin Harris	47	49	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.62	-1	2	-3	16.4	17.9	-1.52	15.9	16.6	-0.61
Paul Millsap	57	58	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.47	-2	3	-5	16.1	19.1	-2.98	15.9	16.9	-0.98
Josh Howard	72	73	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.54	-5	6	-11	17.0	17.5	-0.49	16.1	17.0	-0.95
Al Jefferson	57	59	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	3	-5	16.6	18.1	-1.58	16.1	16.4	-0.22
Enes Kanter	29	28	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	-2	5	18.1	16.6	1.58	16.4	16.1	0.22
Alec Burks	14	14	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	-5	11	17.5	17.0	0.49	17.0	16.1	0.95
Derrick Favors	29	29	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	-2	5	19.1	16.1	2.98	16.9	15.9	0.98
Gordon Hayward	48	49	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	2	-3	16.2	18.2	-2.05	16.5	15.8	0.69
Earl Watson	39	38	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.15	2	-1	3	17.9	16.4	1.52	16.6	15.9	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.67,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 89, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.86,0.62,0.79,0.53,0.31,1	92.2%
PHX 94, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.72,1	92.2%
NYK 105, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.76,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.16,1	91.6%