NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	8.5 [149]		MVP	Chris Mihm (CLE): +2.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	2.9 [421]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -53.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Stith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Chris Carr	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	4	75%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.22,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.03	-0.01	22	48%	0.07	4	-0.12	8	87%	0.03
Jerome Moiso	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	0.01	8	52%	-0.02	3	-0.18	7	57%	-0.03
Kenny Anderson	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23	-0.07	-0.16	-0.00	10	44%	-0.15	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.08
Paul Pierce	-0.53	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.53	-0.20	-0.36	-0.03	11	36%	-0.21	6	-0.33	6	67%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.10	-0.04	10	67%	0.03	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	4	70%	0.06	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	8	50%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.28,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	7	58%	0.00	6	-0.13	12	75%	-0.10
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18	-0.18	0.03	-0.20	0.01	8	70%	-0.00	2	-0.18	4	100%	0.04
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	8	15%	-0.15	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.4	27.6	15.5	34.3	1.8	37.2	146.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +31.0%

BOS -11.4%

CLE +15.8%

CLE +12.7%

CLE +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	14.6	14.6	15.5	89.9	92.9	100.9
season	15.1	15.3		99.7	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.6	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	15.3	13.1	16.2	14.6
CLE	14.1	14.0	13.5	17.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Brown	29	27	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.03	7	-9	16	14.4	14.7	-0.22	17.6	13.5	4.03
Mark Blount	4	2	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-4	6	9.0	14.8	-5.84	12.5	14.7	-2.18
Vitaly Potapenko	61	61	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.37	14	-16	30	14.2	15.2	-1.02	15.2	13.7	1.49
Adrian Griffin	28	26	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.15	6	-8	14	14.9	14.5	0.45	16.9	13.8	3.07
Eric Williams	53	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-3	4	14.7	14.5	0.20	14.3	15.1	-0.79
Jerome Moiso	7	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	6	-14	14.9	14.6	0.27	13.1	14.7	-1.60
Chris Carr	13	12	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	8	-18	14.0	14.7	-0.70	12.8	14.9	-2.05
Bryant Stith	38	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.42	7	-9	16	14.1	15.0	-0.90	16.0	13.8	2.19
Antoine Walker	86	86	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.54	8	-10	18	14.7	14.0	0.70	14.9	12.8	2.05
Paul Pierce	66	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	6	-14	14.8	14.2	0.68	13.6	16.8	-3.19
Tony Battie	40	40	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.04	-20	18	-38	15.5	14.0	1.54	13.6	15.3	-1.74
Kenny Anderson	70	71	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.48	-9	7	-16	14.7	14.4	0.22	13.5	17.6	-4.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	56	54	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.66	5	-3	8	13.6	16.0	-2.39	14.9	14.2	0.66
Chris Gatling	41	42	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	-2	6	14.8	14.5	0.21	14.1	15.0	-0.89
Lamond Murray	66	64	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.31	4	-2	6	14.6	14.7	-0.17	15.1	13.8	1.29
Clar. Weatherspoon	65	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	3	-4	13.3	17.2	-3.89	14.5	14.8	-0.29
Wesley Person	52	54	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	-5	12	16.0	13.0	2.99	14.4	14.8	-0.44
Cedric Henderson	20	20	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	-9	20	14.0	14.8	-0.79	15.5	14.4	1.12
Robert Traylor	43	44	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.07	6	-4	10	15.9	13.7	2.23	14.4	14.8	-0.35
Chris Mihm	9	9	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	4	-6	22.6	13.8	8.72	16.8	14.4	2.39
Matt Harpring	58	60	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.51	-18	20	-38	13.7	16.0	-2.39	14.0	15.5	-1.54
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	38	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	6	-10	13.4	15.4	-1.94	15.1	14.3	0.72
Bimbo Coles	42	45	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.25	-2	4	-6	16.0	13.6	2.39	14.2	14.9	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.86,0.62,0.79,0.53,0.31,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.67,0.42,1	92.2%
IND 99, NYK 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.27,1	91.1%
LAL 87, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.87,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.55,0.22,0.27,1	90.8%