NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	9.1 [104]		MVP	Mark Jackson (NYK): +30.3%
New York Knicks	101		Comeback	2.7 [485]		LVP	Al Harrington (IND): -30.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.09	-0.01	0.08	-0.02	17	44%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.05	-0.05	0.10	-0.00	14	44%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.07
Jeff Foster	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bruno Sundov	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	0.02	-0.09	0.03	16	50%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19	-0.08	-0.08	0.03	15	55%	-0.06	5	-0.13	10	60%	-0.02
Al Harrington	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18,-0.3	-0.01	-0.29	0.00	14	53%	-0.14	1	-0.16	8	87%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.3	0.30	0.00	0.31	0.01	6	83%	0.42	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	5	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	44%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	15	50%	0.07	3	-0.18	6	67%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	13	43%	-0.02	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.03
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.15	-0.00	13	56%	-0.10	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.15	-0.01	20	53%	-0.08	4	-0.10	7	86%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	23.8	16.6	29.4	2.6	41.1	137.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +53.4%

NYK +7.8%

NYK +20.7%

IND -27.8%

IND -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	14.1	15.3	15.6	101.0	103.1	102.3
season	15.3	15.9		101.6	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.4		103.9	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.8	15.0	14.2	14.4	14.1
NYK	16.7	14.4	15.1	15.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Sundov	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-2	2	0.0	14.1	-14.08	0.0	15.5	-15.46
Austin Croshere	18	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	4	-10	14.3	14.0	0.31	13.9	15.6	-1.65
Jeff Foster	41	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	5	-12	14.3	13.9	0.36	14.9	15.6	-0.65
Reggie Miller	78	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.47	8	-10	18	13.9	14.9	-1.03	15.8	13.6	2.15
Jalen Rose	81	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.46	6	-8	14	13.5	16.9	-3.46	15.5	14.2	1.26
Jamaal Tinsley	80	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.54	8	-10	18	13.8	15.5	-1.74	15.5	14.3	1.22
Al Harrington	73	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	1	-4	14.3	13.4	0.97	15.3	15.3	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	83	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.52	2	-4	6	13.9	14.9	-1.01	16.0	11.7	4.25
Travis Best	36	36	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.00	-18	16	-34	16.1	12.9	3.16	13.3	16.5	-3.16

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	89	89	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	-1	4	15.2	16.0	-0.76	13.8	16.6	-2.72
Kurt Thomas	86	86	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	3	-4	15.2	15.7	-0.51	14.1	13.9	0.19
Charlie Ward	37	36	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	-3	8	14.5	15.8	-1.23	14.7	13.7	0.97
Marcus Camby	80	80	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.33	-1	3	-4	15.7	13.6	2.08	13.9	15.0	-1.12
Mark Jackson	62	62	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	5	-8	15.5	14.9	0.57	13.7	14.7	-0.97
Shandon Anderson	30	30	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	-6	14	14.3	15.7	-1.40	15.5	13.4	2.09
Allan Houston	77	77	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.44	-7	9	-16	15.8	13.6	2.15	13.8	15.1	-1.29
Othella Harrington	29	30	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	-4	10	15.0	15.4	-0.48	14.6	13.9	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 99, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.66,0.55,0.71,0.33,0.41,1	92.7%
CLE 94, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.66,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.42,1	91.8%
BOS 89, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.86,0.62,0.79,0.53,0.31,1	91.1%