NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	8.2 [229]		MVP	Travis Best (IND): +21.2%
Indiana Pacers	95		Comeback	2.1 [693]		LVP	Lamond Murray (CLE): -27.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	3	37%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cedric Henderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	4	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	16	61%	0.09	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Lari Ketner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.17	2	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.28	-0.02	-0.25	0.01	20	50%	0.03	3	-0.31	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.15	-0.00	13	57%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.04	0.03	14	62%	0.07	3	-0.07	14	86%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	69%	0.06	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	14	47%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.06
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	41%	-0.07	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.10	0.00	12	35%	-0.15	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	28.2	15.6	24.2	2.6	37.3	132.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -19.9%

IND +24.5%

IND +5.9%

IND +39.7%

CLE -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	17.0	15.2	101.1	103.3	101.7
season	14.1	15.4		98.0	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.3		101.8	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.1	15.3	13.3	15.0	14.1
IND	17.7	16.0	16.7	17.8	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	35	36	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-4	7	13.5	14.5	-0.94	16.9	17.1	-0.26
Cedric Henderson	32	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	0	-1	15.7	13.3	2.42	19.6	15.7	3.91
Andre Miller	56	55	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-6	11	13.5	15.1	-1.63	16.8	17.4	-0.55
Wesley Person	45	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-4	7	13.7	14.5	-0.77	16.8	17.2	-0.35
Lari Ketner	8	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	0	-1	15.1	14.0	1.09	14.7	17.2	-2.49
Earl Boykins	6	5	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	6	-13	18.2	13.9	4.32	14.6	17.2	-2.56
Andrew DeClercq	35	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.30	4	-5	9	13.1	14.7	-1.58	16.8	17.1	-0.27
Shawn Kemp	63	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.38	5	-6	11	14.6	13.1	1.57	17.7	15.6	2.08
Brevin Knight	31	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-2	3	14.5	13.9	0.58	17.8	16.6	1.16
Lamond Murray	68	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.53	4	-5	9	13.9	14.8	-0.92	16.2	19.1	-2.88
Bob Sura	48	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	3	-7	14.5	13.7	0.77	17.2	16.8	0.35
Danny Ferry	38	37	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.16	-17	16	-33	13.6	14.5	-0.84	16.0	17.7	-1.75

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	46	46	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-8	17	17.1	17.0	0.09	14.8	13.5	1.29
Jalen Rose	87	89	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	-2	5	17.1	15.6	1.50	14.1	14.2	-0.13
Austin Croshere	50	49	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	-7	15	16.9	17.2	-0.31	13.7	14.6	-0.88
Reggie Miller	76	77	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.47	-7	8	-15	16.9	17.4	-0.50	14.3	13.3	0.99
Dale Davis	49	48	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.41	-6	7	-13	16.7	17.4	-0.79	14.7	13.5	1.24
Rik Smits	48	49	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.30	-3	4	-7	16.8	17.2	-0.39	13.7	14.7	-1.01
Chris Mullin	14	13	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	-5	11	17.5	16.9	0.56	13.7	14.2	-0.51
Derrick McKey	16	17	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	1	-1	16.4	17.2	-0.78	13.1	14.4	-1.24
Sam Perkins	28	30	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.05	3	-2	5	18.4	16.4	1.92	15.0	13.7	1.24
Mark Jackson	46	47	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.16	-8	9	-17	17.0	17.1	-0.09	13.5	14.8	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.66,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 105, NOP 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.73,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.54,0.55,0.58,1	92.4%
MEM 99, LAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.76,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.55,0.58,1	91.8%
IND 99, NYK 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.27,1	91.8%