NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	87		Excitement	7.8 [291]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +41.0%
Indiana Pacers	89		Comeback	15.6 [159]		LVP	Julius Randle (LAL): -11.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	6	56%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,0.16,0.35,0.24,0.03	-0.08	0.08	-0.02	25	35%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	18	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Tarik Black	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.04	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Robert Sacre	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	12	38%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	0.06	9	62%	0.02	5	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,0.05,0.41	0.41	-0.05	0.42	-0.04	18	47%	0.49	5	-0.08	9	78%	0.10
Myles Turner	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.08	-0.01	8	70%	0.19	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.06
George Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	58%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.08	-0.00	4	69%	0.06	2	-0.12	8	62%	-0.03
Joe Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	9	40%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	19%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	31.0	16.4	22.7	2.5	36.3	136.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +38.2%

IND +24.4%

IND +0.5%

LAL -14.6%

IND +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	IND	NBA	LAL	IND	NBA
this game	14.4	14.0	14.9	85.3	88.1	105.1
season	15.2	14.6		100.1	103.2
opponent	14.9	14.5		101.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.5	12.2	14.1	18.8	14.4
IND	14.7	13.0	13.6	14.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	66	64	0.07	-0.56	0.63	-0.32	13	-15	28	14.9	13.4	1.49	14.8	12.6	2.24
Anthony Brown	9	8	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-4	6	14.3	14.4	-0.05	15.9	13.8	2.05
Nick Young	30	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-5	8	15.8	13.8	2.01	15.7	13.3	2.43
D'Angelo Russell	67	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.54	14	-16	30	14.8	13.6	1.23	14.5	13.1	1.32
Tarik Black	30	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-6	10	15.1	14.1	1.06	15.8	13.3	2.48
Robert Sacre	33	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	13	-28	13.6	14.8	-1.15	13.6	14.2	-0.65
Jordan Clarkson	65	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30	-3	1	-4	15.5	12.4	3.14	14.4	13.2	1.14
Kobe Bryant	73	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.23	-6	4	-10	13.7	16.0	-2.31	13.1	16.3	-3.15
Julius Randle	74	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	3	-8	14.0	15.3	-1.29	13.0	16.8	-3.86
Lou Williams	63	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	15	-32	12.8	17.0	-4.24	12.8	15.8	-2.98

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Mahinmi	60	61	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.25	13	-11	24	12.8	15.8	-3.01	14.0	15.0	-0.99
Paul George	76	77	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-7	16	12.9	17.3	-4.43	14.3	14.6	-0.29
Myles Turner	64	66	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.02	18	-16	34	12.9	15.8	-2.87	14.4	14.3	0.12
George Hill	76	76	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	-4	10	13.0	17.1	-4.11	14.2	15.0	-0.83
Monta Ellis	70	72	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.35	2	0	2	13.4	15.3	-1.83	14.1	15.1	-1.06
Glenn Robinson	26	25	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	0	2	15.2	13.6	1.57	14.3	14.4	-0.14
Joe Young	25	26	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	6	-10	17.1	13.0	4.11	15.0	14.2	0.83
CJ Miles	32	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.24	-11	13	-24	16.0	13.0	2.99	15.2	14.0	1.21
Lavoy Allen	35	35	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.33	-14	16	-30	16.7	12.6	4.13	14.4	14.4	0.07
Jordan Hill	41	41	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	13	-24	15.8	12.8	3.01	15.0	14.0	0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.87,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.55,0.22,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 106, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.81,0.54,0.32,0.16,1	90.9%
BOS 89, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.86,0.62,0.79,0.53,0.31,1	90.8%
CLE 80, IND 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.61,0.37,0.22,0.42,1	90.2%