NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	106		Excitement	7.4 [389]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +59.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Comeback	14.1 [93]		LVP	Steven Adams (OKC): -14.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0.29	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.29,0.29	0.07	0.24	0.02	13	62%	0.34	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.06
Joe Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.02	10	65%	0.23	1	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	9	65%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	9	68%	0.13	1	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.03	0.06	-0.10	-0.01	17	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	15	45%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.05

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.19,-0.11,0.01,0.59	0.59	0.10	0.52	0.02	28	63%	0.86	8	-0.27	12	92%	0.09
Alex Abrines	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	4	137%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	11	73%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Semaj Christon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.05	-0.01	12	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	6	14%	-0.13	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	24.0	14.6	25.5	2.4	38.2	130.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +55.4%

UTA -10.4%

OKC +8.3%

UTA -3.2%

UTA -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	OKC	NBA	UTA	OKC	NBA
this game	17.1	13.9	14.8	112.8	118.5	107.7
season	16.1	14.0		108.0	107.0
opponent	15.1	15.0		106.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.3	17.2	17.0	15.8	17.1
OKC	14.6	13.1	12.2	15.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	27	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-3	3	17.0	17.1	-0.10	15.4	13.3	2.05
Alec Burks	29	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-4	5	17.2	17.0	0.24	14.6	13.5	1.01
Dante Exum	16	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	6	-15	14.2	17.7	-3.40	16.2	13.4	2.78
George Hill	73	74	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.49	9	-12	21	17.6	15.4	2.18	13.7	14.6	-0.87
Joe Ingles	40	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	1	-5	16.2	17.7	-1.52	13.2	14.3	-1.09
Derrick Favors	53	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	5	-13	17.2	16.9	0.31	14.4	13.2	1.17
Joe Johnson	46	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.46	5	-8	13	15.9	18.2	-2.36	13.1	14.6	-1.45
Rodney Hood	61	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	0	-3	17.2	16.9	0.30	14.2	13.3	0.85
Rudy Gobert	62	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	0	-3	17.9	15.5	2.39	13.4	14.8	-1.43
Gordon Hayward	63	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	0	-3	17.6	16.0	1.60	13.3	15.0	-1.69

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	35	39	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.79	5	-2	7	13.9	13.9	-0.00	16.8	17.3	-0.48
Steven Adams	52	50	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.58	5	-2	7	13.7	14.1	-0.47	17.8	16.2	1.55
Russell Westbrook	74	77	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	-7	17	13.5	15.4	-1.90	17.1	17.0	0.09
Taj Gibson	51	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.52	-7	10	-17	14.2	13.4	0.80	15.9	18.7	-2.81
Andre Roberson	56	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	4	-5	13.4	14.6	-1.14	17.3	16.7	0.61
Domantas Sabonis	21	21	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	-5	13	13.7	13.9	-0.19	19.8	16.3	3.52
Doug McDermott	49	49	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	9	-15	14.8	12.8	1.96	16.4	17.8	-1.39
Semaj Christon	18	17	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	10	-17	15.4	13.5	1.90	17.0	17.1	-0.09
Enes Kanter	52	54	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.29	5	-2	7	14.0	13.6	0.37	16.5	17.8	-1.26
Alex Abrines	52	51	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.39	3	0	3	13.2	14.7	-1.44	17.6	16.4	1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.81,0.54,0.32,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.98,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.08,1	91.2%
CLE 80, IND 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.61,0.37,0.22,0.42,1	91.1%
WAS 74, POR 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.45,0.26,1	90.9%