NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	74		Excitement	7.7 [271]		MVP	Randy Foye (WAS): +36.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	76		Comeback	4.9 [434]		LVP	Andray Blatche (WAS): -36.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.09,0.37,0.37	-0.01	0.37	-0.01	11	48%	0.41	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	60%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Al Thornton	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	5	36%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
James Singleton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08	0.03	-0.12	-0.01	11	59%	-0.05	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Shaun Livingston	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	10	30%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.24,-0.26,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.37	-0.17	-0.19	0.01	19	31%	-0.27	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15	0.15	-0.06	0.18	-0.02	17	43%	0.20	2	-0.05	10	70%	0.05
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	5	42%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.06
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,0.03	0.03	-0.10	0.14	0.02	18	33%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	15	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.4	29.2	15.8	26.0	1.8	37.0	138.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -5.1%

POR +26.4%

POR +14.6%

POR +12.4%

POR +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	POR	NBA	WAS	POR	NBA
this game	17.6	16.5	15.3	88.1	89.4	106.0
season	15.7	16.7		102.6	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.3		106.3	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	19.9	18.1	13.8	19.0	17.6
POR	16.1	15.4	17.5	17.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Thornton	46	47	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.25	-2	0	-2	17.5	17.7	-0.16	17.5	15.3	2.27
Nick Young	12	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	2	-6	22.7	16.7	5.94	13.4	17.1	-3.70
Randy Foye	41	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.46	9	-11	20	18.0	17.2	0.74	16.5	16.5	-0.06
JaVale McGee	41	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	7	-16	18.3	16.9	1.46	16.5	16.5	-0.06
Mike Miller	67	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.39	3	-5	8	16.4	22.4	-5.99	17.1	14.6	2.43
Andray Blatche	63	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-4	6	17.4	18.1	-0.70	16.5	16.7	-0.26
James Singleton	64	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.53	3	-5	8	17.3	18.5	-1.28	16.6	16.2	0.35
Alonzo Gee	37	36	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-2	2	17.2	17.8	-0.59	15.6	17.2	-1.57
Shaun Livingston	49	50	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.28	-12	10	-22	18.0	17.0	0.98	16.3	16.8	-0.43

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	23	23	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.56	8	-6	14	16.0	16.7	-0.65	20.0	16.6	3.40
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	70	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.36	9	-7	16	16.4	17.1	-0.75	18.5	13.1	5.40
Andre Miller	59	59	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-4	10	17.0	15.4	1.58	17.8	17.1	0.70
Nicolas Batum	49	49	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	-1	4	16.3	16.7	-0.40	16.7	18.8	-2.06
Jerryd Bayless	36	36	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	-5	12	15.8	17.0	-1.19	18.3	17.0	1.33
Juwan Howard	33	32	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.16	1	1	0	16.8	16.4	0.39	18.2	17.2	1.05
Brandon Roy	63	63	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.35	-7	9	-16	16.8	15.7	1.07	16.9	19.6	-2.67
Rudy Fernandez	25	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.10	-7	9	-16	16.4	16.5	-0.11	16.3	18.1	-1.80
Marcus Camby	67	65	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.02	-10	12	-22	16.5	16.4	0.09	16.6	21.1	-4.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.45,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.43,0.58,1	91.3%
UTA 106, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.81,0.54,0.32,0.16,1	90.9%
NOP 87, CHA 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.81,0.63,0.69,0.42,1	90.7%