NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	87		Excitement	8.1 [248]		MVP	Brian Roberts (NOP): +32.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	90		Comeback	1.4 [736]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -29.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Roberts	0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.31,0.33	0.07	0.25	0.00	15	59%	0.35	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.07
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.07	0.02	17	49%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.19	0.03	-0.22	0.00	11	54%	-0.17	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.12
Tyreke Evans	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	13	15%	-0.27	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	3	150%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	59%	0.08	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.06	-0.00	11	41%	0.05	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.09
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	8	35%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	30	50%	0.05	4	-0.11	6	83%	-0.06
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	8	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	27.4	14.4	25.4	1.6	45.3	139.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP -11.2%

CHA +13.1%

CHA +42.8%

CHA +3.0%

CHA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CHA	NBA	NOP	CHA	NBA
this game	16.0	16.1	15.1	95.6	102.3	105.2
season	15.5	15.7		105.6	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.3		103.1	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	16.2	18.6	15.6	14.1	16.0
CHA	20.0	14.1	16.5	14.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	26	23	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-6	9	16.0	16.0	-0.01	19.8	14.8	5.00
Anthony Davis	62	61	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.20	6	-9	15	16.4	15.3	1.13	17.2	13.6	3.62
Al-Farouq Aminu	57	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.36	10	-13	23	15.6	16.9	-1.29	16.0	16.3	-0.27
Eric Gordon	59	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.31	6	-9	15	15.8	16.6	-0.80	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Tyreke Evans	48	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-2	1	15.9	16.2	-0.27	16.2	16.1	0.13
Jeff Withey	16	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	4	-11	16.7	15.9	0.86	13.7	16.6	-2.88
Luke Babbitt	30	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-3	3	18.0	15.1	2.97	16.0	16.2	-0.21
Brian Roberts	63	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.37	5	-8	13	15.9	16.4	-0.50	16.5	15.4	1.07
Austin Rivers	20	18	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	6	-15	15.4	16.2	-0.76	14.9	16.5	-1.57
Greg Stiemsma	39	37	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.14	-17	14	-31	15.9	16.1	-0.21	14.7	17.2	-2.52
Anthony Morrow	35	35	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.37	-11	8	-19	15.6	16.3	-0.77	14.6	17.1	-2.50

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	65	68	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.25	10	-7	17	16.2	15.9	0.30	16.4	15.0	1.34
Anthony Tolliver	30	31	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-9	21	15.7	16.4	-0.66	16.6	15.7	0.86
Chris Douglas-Roberts	32	33	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	-6	15	16.2	16.1	0.03	16.6	15.7	0.93
Cody Zeller	29	29	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-7	17	16.4	16.0	0.47	17.4	15.4	2.01
Bismack Biyombo	25	26	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	-5	13	15.9	16.2	-0.36	16.8	15.8	1.02
Al Jefferson	63	65	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.37	-5	8	-13	16.2	15.9	0.36	15.8	16.8	-1.02
Josh McRoberts	59	62	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.37	-7	10	-17	16.0	16.4	-0.47	15.4	17.4	-2.01
Gerald Henderson	56	58	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.29	-6	9	-15	16.1	16.2	-0.03	15.7	16.6	-0.93
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	58	60	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.34	-9	12	-21	16.4	15.7	0.66	15.7	16.6	-0.86
Jannero Pargo	23	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.16	-7	10	-17	15.9	16.2	-0.30	15.0	16.4	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.81,0.63,0.69,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 105, LAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.72,0.67,0.73,1	92.2%
CHI 102, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.79,0.68,0.58,1	92.1%
PHX 83, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.81,0.57,0.29,1	91.7%