NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	7.4 [390]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (LAL): +24.8%
Houston Rockets	103		Comeback	11.1 [147]		LVP	Brian Cook (LAL): -39.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.25,0.25	0.03	0.22	0.01	9	87%	0.38	6	-0.13	6	83%	0.05
Caron Butler	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	11	64%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Luke Walton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	78%	0.05	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Tierre Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	18	49%	-0.09	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.04
Brian Cook	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.39	-0.05	-0.35	-0.00	11	32%	-0.39	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.03	-0.01	11	86%	0.19	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	18	55%	0.12	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.11
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	14	58%	0.01	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	24	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.15	0.00	8	37%	-0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	3.4	29.5	17.7	26.2	3.6	40.0	144.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +0.4%

HOU +20.4%

LAL -2.1%

HOU +24.9%

HOU +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.4	15.5	15.5	109.7	110.8	104.0
season	15.7	16.0		105.8	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.3		100.6	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.4	14.0	18.4	13.5	15.4
HOU	13.6	14.3	16.8	18.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	21	23	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.17	3	-4	7	15.3	15.5	-0.17	15.8	15.5	0.37
Jumaine Jones	74	72	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.06	-2	1	-3	15.6	14.8	0.73	15.6	15.3	0.34
Tierre Brown	14	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	1	-3	16.4	15.2	1.19	15.2	15.6	-0.39
Chris Mihm	52	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	6	-13	14.9	16.0	-1.13	14.4	17.0	-2.51
Chucky Atkins	79	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.40	1	-2	3	15.2	16.4	-1.19	15.6	15.2	0.39
Luke Walton	37	38	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.52	3	-4	7	14.0	16.4	-2.40	14.9	16.0	-1.06
Caron Butler	75	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	2	-5	16.0	13.1	2.93	15.8	14.5	1.32
Brian Cook	35	34	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.58	4	-5	9	16.3	14.9	1.39	16.9	14.8	2.10
Lamar Odom	78	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.42	-2	1	-3	15.4	15.5	-0.14	15.6	15.2	0.44

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	75	77	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.40	6	-5	11	15.7	14.9	0.75	15.6	14.3	1.34
Tracy McGrady	75	76	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-7	15	15.9	14.3	1.58	16.3	11.6	4.62
Juwan Howard	56	58	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-16	33	15.1	16.3	-1.24	16.0	14.5	1.54
Yao Ming	70	70	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	-3	7	15.2	16.7	-1.52	15.1	16.3	-1.23
David Wesley	76	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	-1	3	15.3	16.8	-1.49	15.4	15.5	-0.06
Ryan Bowen	1	1	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	4	-7	25.0	15.4	9.55	17.0	15.4	1.60
Dikembe Mutombo	19	18	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.03	2	-1	3	14.9	15.7	-0.76	17.7	14.9	2.79
Jon Barry	35	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.22	-8	9	-17	15.5	15.6	-0.10	13.6	16.5	-2.93
Rod Strickland	18	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	6	-11	14.9	15.7	-0.75	14.3	15.6	-1.34
Clar. Weatherspoon	9	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.07	-6	7	-13	18.6	15.2	3.33	16.9	15.2	1.66
Scott Padgett	31	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.23	-12	13	-25	16.5	15.1	1.40	13.0	16.5	-3.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.98,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.08,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 94, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.86,0.72,0.85,0.27,1	91.6%
UTA 106, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.81,0.54,0.32,0.16,1	91.2%
PHX 83, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.81,0.57,0.29,1	90.3%