NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	6.4 [533]		MVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): +8.3%
Chicago Bulls	97		Comeback	1.3 [1224]		LVP	Vince Carter (PHX): -18.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	10	62%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	15	43%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.07	9	67%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	0.02	9	50%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Vince Carter	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	0.04	-0.21	0.01	22	49%	-0.16	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	7	86%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.19,-0.05,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.05	0.03	15	53%	0.12	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	16	53%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	13	41%	-0.01	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	30.5	16.4	26.8	1.7	33.8	137.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +39.1%

CHI +4.7%

PHX -14.2%

CHI +19.4%

CHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHI	NBA	PHX	CHI	NBA
this game	13.8	16.7	15.5	96.9	105.4	105.7
season	14.5	15.7		108.0	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.7		99.2	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.9	13.3	12.9	16.9	13.8
CHI	14.8	16.2	16.7	20.1	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	28	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-3	3	13.1	14.1	-1.06	17.8	16.3	1.56
Hakim Warrick	38	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-6	9	12.9	14.4	-1.44	17.6	16.2	1.46
Josh Childress	31	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-1	-1	13.5	14.0	-0.50	17.5	16.4	1.16
Robin Lopez	6	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	2	-7	11.8	14.0	-2.12	18.8	16.6	2.25
Vince Carter	46	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.40	6	-9	15	13.6	14.0	-0.37	17.7	15.9	1.77
Jared Dudley	51	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	6	-15	14.0	13.6	0.37	15.9	17.7	-1.77
Channing Frye	74	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.30	-2	-1	-1	14.5	11.6	2.90	17.0	15.6	1.38
Grant Hill	66	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-2	1	14.0	13.5	0.50	16.4	17.5	-1.16
Steve Nash	69	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	0	-3	14.1	13.1	1.06	16.3	17.8	-1.56
Marcin Gortat	76	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.44	-2	-1	-1	13.7	14.1	-0.35	15.8	19.8	-3.99

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	53	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	0	3	16.0	17.7	-1.72	15.4	11.8	3.60
Derrick Rose	66	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.39	0	3	-3	16.6	17.2	-0.59	14.0	13.4	0.55
Kyle Korver	37	42	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	0	3	17.4	16.3	1.18	14.6	13.2	1.40
Luol Deng	75	80	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	4	-5	16.5	17.6	-1.13	13.9	13.4	0.57
Carlos Boozer	66	71	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.39	-6	9	-15	17.1	15.8	1.34	13.9	13.7	0.13
CJ Watson	26	27	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	-1	5	17.2	16.6	0.59	13.4	14.0	-0.58
Omer Asik	13	13	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	-4	11	15.2	17.0	-1.83	13.5	13.9	-0.33
Keith Bogans	37	37	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	-1	5	15.2	17.8	-2.62	14.6	13.4	1.20
Taj Gibson	42	44	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	3	-3	17.4	16.2	1.24	12.0	15.3	-3.30
Ronnie Brewer	40	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	5	-7	18.3	15.5	2.78	12.2	14.9	-2.75
Kurt Thomas	5	6	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	0	3	14.8	16.8	-2.04	12.3	13.9	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 113, NOP 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.93,0.72,0.77,0.73,1	93.2%
PHX 93, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.74,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.73,1	93.2%
GSW 84, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.91,1	93.1%