NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	93		Excitement	6.8 [437]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (WAS): +30.2%
Washington Wizards	98		Comeback	1.1 [842]		LVP	Bryon Russell (WAS): -17.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	22	60%	0.25	6	-0.24	4	75%	-0.00
Scott Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0	0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	19	55%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04
Shawn Marion	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	19	47%	-0.02	3	-0.06	7	71%	0.05
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	0.00	9	41%	-0.08	4	-0.09	9	33%	-0.08

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.3	0.30	0.05	0.24	-0.02	25	55%	0.32	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.08
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	64%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	14	63%	0.11	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.06
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	29.5	16.3	23.6	2.4	35.5	133.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +31.1%

WAS +7.4%

PHX -5.9%

WAS +11.1%

WAS +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	WAS	NBA	PHX	WAS	NBA
this game	13.9	15.2	15.5	93.0	100.0	101.6
season	15.0	16.5		101.1	100.9
opponent	15.5	15.9		101.9	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.2	13.7	13.2	12.4	13.9
WAS	13.7	15.7	15.6	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	12	11	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-6	7	11.1	14.2	-3.17	15.9	15.1	0.76
Randy Brown	8	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-3	1	12.0	14.0	-2.03	14.5	15.3	-0.80
Scott Williams	31	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.30	6	-11	17	12.0	14.7	-2.71	15.8	15.0	0.83
Bo Outlaw	68	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-4	3	15.5	10.4	5.09	15.4	14.9	0.55
Casey Jacobsen	32	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	0	-5	11.4	15.0	-3.62	14.5	15.6	-1.08
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.12	-10	5	-15	14.1	13.2	0.96	15.3	15.2	0.07
Stephon Marbury	92	90	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.36	-3	-2	-1	14.0	12.0	2.03	15.3	14.5	0.80
Shawn Marion	91	90	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-1	-3	13.8	14.2	-0.39	15.3	15.0	0.26
Joe Johnson	94	92	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	2	-9	14.3	6.7	7.66	15.0	18.2	-3.12

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	76	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-4	13	14.9	16.4	-1.51	14.4	12.0	2.31
Christian Laettner	65	66	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	-1	7	15.5	14.7	0.77	14.3	13.0	1.27
Jerry Stackhouse	84	86	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.36	3	2	1	15.2	15.1	0.11	14.4	10.8	3.59
Larry Hughes	68	71	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	-1	7	14.6	16.7	-2.06	14.8	11.7	3.12
Brendan Haywood	63	65	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	-4	13	14.9	15.8	-0.92	14.9	11.9	3.05
Bryon Russell	52	51	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.29	-4	9	-13	15.6	14.8	0.85	12.2	15.6	-3.46
Tyronn Lue	36	35	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	6	-7	15.8	14.9	0.86	11.1	15.4	-4.28
Kwame Brown	36	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	7	-9	15.9	14.9	1.03	12.6	14.6	-2.05
Etan Thomas	10	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	6	-7	16.0	15.1	0.85	12.7	14.0	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.74,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.73,1	93.9%
HOU 113, NOP 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.93,0.72,0.77,0.73,1	93.8%
PHX 94, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.72,1	93.2%