NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	119		Excitement	1.6 [676]		MVP	Jay Huff (IND): +29.6%
Indiana Pacers	127		Comeback	1.6 [801]		LVP	Yves Missi (NOP): -7.1%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Saddiq Bey	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.02	0.04	10	71%	0.14	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Zion Williamson	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.04	0.06	12	79%	0.23	3	-0.09	10	70%	-0.02
Jeremiah Fears	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.00	0.03	9	73%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jordan Poole	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	79%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derik Queen	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Karlo Matkovi?	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	21	48%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Jordan Hawkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jay Huff	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.25	0.06	0.02	17	85%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.07	0.02	13	66%	0.18	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Quenton Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	-0.00	7	75%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	-0.03	5	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.02	13	44%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.13	-0.03	0.07	22	59%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	8	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.2	30.0	13.5	25.9	1.3	29.2	125.5
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +37.0%

NOP -13.1%

IND +15.9%

IND +8.2%

IND +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	IND	NBA	NOP	IND	NBA
this game	13.3	16.4	14.2	122.7	130.9	113.4
season	14.0	13.8		112.2	108.9
opponent	14.2	14.1		117.0	116.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.5	13.0	14.2	13.5	13.3
IND	18.0	14.2	15.2	18.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce McGowens	80	81	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-6	4	13.6	11.7	1.93	15.9	18.7	-2.76
Jordan Hawkins	22	22	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	1	-10	14.5	13.0	1.49	14.5	16.9	-2.43
Derik Queen	76	76	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-3	-2	13.5	12.4	1.11	16.0	17.6	-1.58
Saddiq Bey	78	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-4	0	13.2	13.5	-0.28	16.1	17.6	-1.44
Yves Missi	84	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-1	-6	13.6	11.5	2.03	15.7	20.9	-5.18
Jordan Poole	53	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	3	-14	14.3	12.0	2.29	16.4	16.4	0.02
Zion Williamson	77	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	-1	-6	13.3	13.2	0.12	16.2	17.2	-1.09
Jeremiah Fears	93	94	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-3	-2	13.6	6.7	6.83	16.1	23.7	-7.52
Trey Murphy III	97	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	13.3	0.0	13.30	16.4	0.0	16.38
Karlo Matkovi?	79	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	8	-24	13.9	10.6	3.30	15.7	19.6	-3.90

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nembhard	87	87	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-3	14	16.0	19.4	-3.37	13.5	11.8	1.67
Jay Huff	71	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-5	18	15.2	19.7	-4.58	14.2	10.7	3.51
Tony Bradley	90	89	0.52	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-1	10	16.4	16.6	-0.20	13.8	7.9	5.91
Pascal Siakam	85	85	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-1	10	15.9	19.6	-3.65	13.6	10.9	2.72
Aaron Nesmith	95	95	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	2	4	16.3	20.5	-4.21	13.4	6.5	6.94
T.J. McConnell	69	69	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	-4	16	15.8	17.8	-2.02	13.7	12.4	1.32
Johnny Furphy	77	77	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	1	6	16.2	17.2	-1.09	13.3	13.2	0.12
Jarace Walker	75	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.14	9	-1	10	15.6	19.0	-3.33	14.1	10.7	3.33
Quenton Jackson	25	25	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	0	8	14.4	17.1	-2.72	14.2	13.0	1.27
Ben Sheppard	48	48	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	8	-8	16.6	16.2	0.40	13.4	13.2	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.73,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.76,0.77,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 89, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
GSW 76, PHX 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
ORL 94, PHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	93.7%