NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	1.6 [697]		MVP	KJ Martin (PHI): +22.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	102		Comeback	1.5 [529]		LVP	Anthony Black (ORL): -14.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	80%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.03	7	86%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jett Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Houstan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tristan da Silva	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Jalen Suggs	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.06	19	55%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Franz Wagner	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.06	0.04	23	57%	0.04	4	-0.09	7	100%	0.04
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Black	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
KJ Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.20	0.04	0.02	10	95%	0.22	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	10	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Paul George	0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	19	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.05	8	64%	0.04	2	-0.06	9	56%	-0.06
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	17	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.00	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jared McCain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	31.6	15.3	34.3	1.7	34.2	143.8
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +32.5%

ORL -7.8%

PHI +11.3%

PHI +14.1%

ORL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.3	15.9	14.4	97.9	107.4	113.0
season	15.4	15.0		108.3	110.4
opponent	14.2	14.4		116.8	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.4	16.3	14.4	13.1	14.3
PHI	15.4	15.7	15.0	17.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wendell Carter Jr.	52	53	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.24	14	-22	36	13.0	15.7	-2.71	16.6	15.0	1.58
Caleb Houstan	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-9	10	16.2	14.1	2.14	18.8	15.6	3.20
Goga Bitadze	51	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-7	6	14.8	13.7	1.12	16.0	15.8	0.21
Jalen Suggs	67	66	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-10	12	13.9	15.2	-1.33	15.8	16.0	-0.12
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	66	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-12	16	13.9	15.1	-1.24	16.4	14.8	1.57
Cole Anthony	26	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-11	14	13.5	14.6	-1.07	17.5	15.3	2.22
Jett Howard	33	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-3	-2	15.1	13.9	1.23	15.9	15.9	0.08
Franz Wagner	75	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	14.1	14.9	-0.74	15.8	16.1	-0.27
Moritz Wagner	37	34	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	5	-18	15.5	13.5	2.05	15.3	16.2	-0.96
Tristan da Silva	27	27	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.06	-20	12	-32	15.2	13.9	1.31	14.0	16.6	-2.63
Anthony Black	37	35	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.01	-20	12	-32	14.5	14.2	0.29	14.0	17.0	-2.94

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
KJ Martin	63	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	1	6	16.4	14.9	1.47	14.2	14.4	-0.17
Kelly Oubre Jr.	67	70	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-2	12	15.5	16.8	-1.28	14.7	13.2	1.49
Tyrese Maxey	68	71	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	5	-2	16.0	15.6	0.46	13.7	15.8	-2.05
Paul George	76	75	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	1	6	15.7	16.8	-1.13	14.4	14.0	0.36
Kyle Lowry	22	21	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.04	10	-2	12	16.1	15.8	0.33	15.5	13.9	1.53
Jared McCain	41	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	5	-2	16.6	15.4	1.19	13.8	14.6	-0.87
Guerschon Yabusele	65	67	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.32	-5	13	-18	16.2	15.2	1.05	13.8	15.4	-1.62
Andre Drummond	57	56	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	5	-2	15.0	17.2	-2.12	14.7	13.6	1.13
Caleb Martin	16	17	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	6	-4	15.6	15.9	-0.31	14.8	14.2	0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 76, PHX 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
HOU 92, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
ORL 80, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,1	94.7%