NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	80		Excitement	1.4 [884]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (CHI): +20.2%
Chicago Bulls	90		Comeback	1.5 [486]		LVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): -13.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	15	71%	0.15	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	17	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.04
Nikola Vucevic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	19	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	9	36%	-0.02	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Mo Bamba	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	3	10%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Terrence Ross	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	11	9%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.04	0.03	20	73%	0.24	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.01	6	74%	0.17	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.04
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	14	35%	0.01	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.01
Chandler Hutchison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	11	41%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Antonio Blakeney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	10%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	27.2	14.6	29.0	0.3	30.6	128.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +49.1%

CHI +4.5%

CHI +0.2%

ORL -0.8%

ORL -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHI	NBA	ORL	CHI	NBA
this game	16.2	16.3	14.3	87.9	104.7	109.3
season	14.9	14.6		107.2	104.2
opponent	14.3	14.3		112.4	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.8	16.0	18.3	16.1	16.2
CHI	14.6	16.7	19.7	15.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarell Martin	7	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-8	6	13.0	16.5	-3.46	16.4	16.3	0.09
Evan Fournier	66	61	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-15	20	16.1	16.6	-0.50	16.8	15.4	1.39
Jerian Grant	27	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-9	8	16.0	16.3	-0.28	16.5	16.3	0.18
Nikola Vucevic	69	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.24	3	-13	16	15.8	17.5	-1.72	16.7	15.3	1.41
Aaron Gordon	70	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-13	16	15.6	18.3	-2.71	16.7	15.2	1.50
Jonathan Isaac	37	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-4	-2	18.0	15.0	2.99	17.3	15.8	1.50
Mo Bamba	21	20	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	3	-16	18.3	15.6	2.71	15.2	16.7	-1.50
D.J. Augustin	64	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-1	-8	16.3	16.0	0.28	16.3	16.5	-0.18
Terrence Ross	51	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	0	-10	16.3	16.1	0.22	16.1	16.8	-0.69
Wes Iwundu	43	40	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.04	-20	10	-30	16.0	16.4	-0.46	14.7	17.7	-2.99

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille Harrison	39	40	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.18	13	-3	16	16.9	15.9	1.10	16.3	16.1	0.14
Chandler Hutchison	31	31	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	-7	24	15.2	17.0	-1.86	17.4	15.6	1.75
Robin Lopez	43	44	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-4	18	15.2	17.5	-2.23	16.9	15.6	1.29
Antonio Blakeney	23	23	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.08	14	-4	18	14.2	17.1	-2.91	18.3	15.5	2.82
Justin Holiday	64	69	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.28	-4	14	-18	17.1	14.1	3.03	15.3	19.1	-3.82
Ryan Arcidiacono	58	64	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	8	-6	16.7	15.6	1.10	15.3	18.2	-2.88
Lauri Markkanen	66	70	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	8	-6	16.7	15.1	1.56	15.9	17.1	-1.17
Kris Dunn	64	68	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.17	-4	14	-18	15.9	17.8	-1.91	16.7	14.7	2.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	42	46	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	14	-18	17.5	15.3	2.20	15.9	16.5	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 76, PHX 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
DEN 101, CLE 119	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.61,0.71,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
PHI 86, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%