inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 111 Excitement1.5 [684] MVPAjay Mitchell (OKC): +18.4%
Houston Rockets 91 Comeback1.1 [896] LVPJabari Smith Jr. (HOU): -11.3%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ajay Mitchell0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.130.05-0.011085%0.211-0.0300%0.00
Chet Holmgren0.170,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.170.040.04986%0.1700.00367%-0.01
Luguentz Dort0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.04-0.00881%0.152-0.0400%0.00
Cason Wallace0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.05-0.00757%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.03-0.011167%0.205-0.14887%0.02
Isaiah Joe0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.010.02560%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jaylin Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.010.03460%0.0000.002100%0.00
Ousmane Dieng0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Youngblood0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.020.000.05750%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Alex Caruso-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00736%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Aaron Wiggins-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00831%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jalen Williams-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.080.01-0.011125%-0.0700.002100%0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01650%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jae'Sean Tate0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Holiday00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
JD Davison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.05-0.00-0.05928%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Reed Sheppard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.020.011035%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Josh Okogie0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.01642%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Amen Thompson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.02-0.031632%-0.0800.00862%-0.02
Alperen Sengun0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.021547%0.045-0.1200%0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.012337%-0.062-0.055100%0.03
Jabari Smith Jr.0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.030.021550%0.025-0.144100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.62.328.00.031.70.027.80.0
league avg26.51.929.214.229.92.132.8136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +77.9%
HOU -3.9%
HOU -35.8%
OKC +11.5%
OKC +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCHOUNBAOKCHOUNBA
this game13.115.614.2113.389.2113.4
season13.915.4116.6115.5
opponent14.014.7110.6106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC11.812.515.912.713.1
HOU15.215.216.116.015.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Wiggins73740.69-0.190.88-0.0726-63212.714.3-1.6416.612.93.74
Luguentz Dort68700.60-0.100.70-0.0723-32612.713.9-1.2016.812.93.94
Jalen Williams67690.57-0.070.64-0.0822-22412.614.1-1.5016.912.93.99
Isaiah Joe44460.52-0.020.54-0.1021-12212.513.6-1.1316.015.30.71
Kenrich Williams55570.51-0.010.52-0.051911813.512.60.8916.314.71.60
Alex Caruso92950.500.000.50-0.092002013.113.2-0.0716.010.75.25
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander92950.500.000.50-0.092002013.113.2-0.0716.010.75.25
Jaylin Williams88910.500.000.500.031641213.212.11.1216.012.04.04
Chet Holmgren74770.430.070.36-0.131911813.212.90.2516.413.13.35
Ousmane Dieng24260.420.080.34-0.111821612.713.2-0.5816.015.50.53
Chris Youngblood24260.420.080.34-0.111821612.713.2-0.5816.015.50.53
Ajay Mitchell76790.310.190.120.05911-213.212.80.4216.213.52.75
Cason Wallace73760.290.210.080.14515-1013.212.80.4616.612.73.91

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jae'Sean Tate2624-0.42-0.08-0.340.11-18-2-1616.015.50.5312.713.2-0.58
Aaron Holiday1716-0.42-0.08-0.340.05-16-4-1218.115.12.9412.613.2-0.64
Jeff Green2624-0.42-0.08-0.340.11-18-2-1616.015.50.5312.713.2-0.58
JD Davison9490-0.43-0.07-0.370.12-19-1-1815.615.10.5213.014.5-1.52
Reed Sheppard8480-0.49-0.01-0.480.09-200-2016.113.42.6312.814.2-1.37
Steven Adams9188-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.03-16-4-1216.012.04.0413.212.11.12
Alperen Sengun9188-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.03-16-4-1216.012.04.0413.212.11.12
Amen Thompson9390-0.500.00-0.500.03-18-2-1615.912.13.8413.112.90.25
Jabari Smith Jr.7876-0.510.01-0.520.07-200-2016.413.23.1912.913.7-0.81
Kevin Durant8785-0.540.04-0.570.02-19-1-1816.112.73.4513.212.80.38
Josh Okogie7270-0.690.19-0.88-0.05-222-2416.812.64.2112.714.1-1.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 111, PHI 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.39,0.48,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,094.4%
OKC 116, PHX 980.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,094.0%
MIA 99, PHI 790.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,093.8%