inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 116 Excitement5.6 [719] MVPJames Harden (OKC): +20.8%
Phoenix Suns 98 Comeback1.2 [894] LVPMarcin Gortat (PHX): -11.7%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.170.090.05981%0.231-0.02956%-0.05
Nazr Mohammed0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Eric Maynor0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.030.00462%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Durant0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.010.041854%0.0300.00560%-0.02
Kendrick Perkins0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.09-0.000.06672%0.0200.00683%0.00
Daequan Cook0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02462%0.0100.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.01970%0.155-0.14580%0.00
Royal Ivey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Nate Robinson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.05-0.020.041352%-0.0100.003100%0.01
Thabo Sefolosha-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01837%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Nick Collison-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.00650%0.033-0.0700%0.00

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.150.030.011965%0.211-0.03580%0.00
Jared Dudley0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.01964%0.083-0.077100%0.03
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.020.00570%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Garret Siler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.08389%0.0000.00367%0.00
Zabian Dowdell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Robin Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Josh Childress0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Channing Frye0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.030.00750%-0.021-0.022100%0.02
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.01480%0.074-0.112100%0.01
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00531%-0.0500.00650%-0.03
Grant Hill0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.020.00719%-0.1000.00250%-0.01
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.011332%-0.062-0.06250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.329.515.624.12.735.2137.6
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +46.0%
PHX -7.1%
OKC +4.3%
PHX -1.4%
OKC +8.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCPHXNBAOKCPHXNBA
this game16.515.315.5127.5108.9105.7
season15.014.5108.8108.0
opponent15.715.6109.0105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC16.415.417.316.816.5
PHX14.318.113.215.915.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thabo Sefolosha41420.450.050.400.041441018.315.13.2114.516.0-1.57
Serge Ibaka65650.380.120.26-0.121711616.117.6-1.5514.218.2-4.06
Kevin Durant68690.360.140.21-0.171801815.918.4-2.5815.215.8-0.65
Nick Collison46450.340.160.180.0899017.315.61.7016.414.22.18
Eric Maynor31270.260.240.020.14414-1017.615.91.6815.315.30.03
James Harden51530.220.28-0.05-0.07108215.817.4-1.6917.012.94.15
Russell Westbrook60620.220.28-0.06-0.191441015.917.6-1.6815.315.4-0.12
Daequan Cook28250.120.38-0.260.15-119-2017.516.11.3815.915.10.84
Nazr Mohammed32300.100.40-0.310.10018-1816.016.8-0.8315.915.00.93
Kendrick Perkins27280.060.44-0.39-0.2199016.516.5-0.0314.215.8-1.64
Royal Ivey320.000.50-0.500.06-220-2215.016.6-1.5610.015.4-5.43
Nate Robinson320.000.50-0.500.06-220-2215.016.6-1.5610.015.4-5.43

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robin Lopez13130.01-0.510.53-0.021-192017.914.93.0516.116.6-0.50
Garret Siler670.00-0.500.50-0.062-202210.815.6-4.8015.916.6-0.70
Zabian Dowdell440.00-0.500.500.000-181811.215.5-4.2516.516.5-0.01
Grant Hill3332-0.09-0.410.31-0.01-3-151213.616.3-2.7417.515.91.58
Aaron Brooks2928-0.14-0.360.21-0.06-3-151216.114.91.1718.915.43.50
Marcin Gortat5252-0.21-0.290.080.17-13-5-814.616.2-1.6016.516.50.08
Josh Childress3537-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.08-6-12617.613.93.7516.816.30.47
Hakim Warrick4344-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.07-7-11416.714.12.6115.917.1-1.20
Channing Frye5960-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.00-11-7-414.417.1-2.7716.616.40.23
Steve Nash5960-0.36-0.14-0.210.14-17-1-1615.115.7-0.6115.418.5-3.10
Vince Carter5354-0.40-0.10-0.300.10-17-1-1617.012.94.1515.817.5-1.70
Jared Dudley6464-0.46-0.04-0.420.01-16-2-1414.018.5-4.4316.815.71.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 116, NOH 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,095.0%
SAC 111, VAN 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0,0,094.5%
BOS 104, SEA 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,094.5%