inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 119 Excitement7.1 [282] MVPAnfernee Simons (BOS): +24.6%
Miami Heat 114 Comeback20.8 [71] LVPNikola Jovi? (MIA): -11.9%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anfernee Simons0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.250.180.110.052863%0.292-0.056100%0.01
Sam Hauser0.150,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.150.120.040.011171%0.1500.002100%0.01
Jaylen Brown0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.06,0.15,0.11,0.11-0.040.12-0.032449%0.205-0.097100%0.04
Neemias Queta0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.02-0.02575%0.082-0.03250%-0.01
Jordan Walsh0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Hugo González0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.02-0.00250%0.0300.0000%0.00
Luka Garza0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.00861%0.031-0.012100%0.01
Baylor Scheierman0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick White-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.02-0.02740%0.022-0.036100%0.05
Payton Pritchard-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.01425%-0.021-0.0300%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kasparas Jaku?ionis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.060.11-0.014100%0.323-0.14475%0.02
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.160.160.20-0.020.031574%0.1600.005100%0.03
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.140.140.140.000.011573%0.161-0.0200%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.030.011070%0.151-0.023100%0.03
Pelle Larsson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.000.02-0.04644%0.0600.00475%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02-0.020.07-0.080.001952%0.001-0.02475%0.00
Kel'el Ware0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01530%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Simone Fontecchio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.040.00333%-0.0500.003100%0.01
Dru Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.0140%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Nikola Jovi?0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.02619%-0.082-0.04425%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.80.026.10.031.10.038.80.0
league avg26.32.028.914.329.62.232.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +22.2%
MIA -4.3%
BOS +23.6%
BOS +8.1%
BOS +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMIANBABOSMIANBA
this game16.313.414.2122.7117.5113.5
season15.412.8119.3113.3
opponent14.514.3110.4112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.819.815.214.716.3
MIA12.812.413.115.313.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Baylor Scheierman59580.65-0.150.800.5050516.116.6-0.5113.712.90.85
Sam Hauser82830.51-0.010.530.4523-116.216.5-0.2313.512.90.61
Anfernee Simons91900.500.000.490.4132116.119.5-3.4513.413.4-0.05
Derrick White96970.490.010.480.3450516.41.015.4313.40.013.38
Jaylen Brown78780.480.020.460.54-27-915.519.6-4.1213.214.3-1.16
Jordan Walsh88860.460.040.420.4023-116.99.77.2813.99.34.63
Luka Garza92900.450.050.410.4023-116.86.89.9813.79.04.72
Payton Pritchard80790.370.130.250.52-510-1517.112.44.6813.711.91.76
Hugo González6461-0.020.52-0.540.07-38-1115.018.7-3.7314.311.72.59
Neemias Queta6665-0.110.61-0.73-0.03-38-1116.515.80.6814.610.83.79

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kel'el Ware35370.21-0.710.92-0.0810-152512.314.0-1.6216.116.3-0.21
Nikola Jovi?63630.08-0.580.660.080-5514.012.21.7615.118.5-3.44
Dru Smith43440.04-0.540.58-0.053-81114.012.91.0715.716.7-0.95
Simone Fontecchio6160-0.12-0.380.250.14-94-1314.012.31.6716.416.00.39
Bam Adebayo8282-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.556-111713.313.7-0.4216.713.82.92
Andrew Wiggins9089-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.472-7913.216.1-2.9816.315.50.84
Norman Powell8989-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.42-1-4313.511.61.9116.810.56.29
Kasparas Jaku?ionis9392-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.36-4-1-313.316.0-2.7316.414.22.18
Pelle Larsson7576-0.510.01-0.52-0.45-2-3113.911.82.0816.316.00.34
Tyler Herro8384-0.560.06-0.62-0.39-61-713.611.91.7815.819.4-3.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.53,0.39,0.29,0.1,0.07,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 103, SAC 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.22,0.1,091.8%
OKC 114, DET 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.62,0.22,0.06,0,091.7%
SAC 100, NOH 920.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.4,0.53,0.31,0.22,0.07,0,091.5%