NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	7.0 [446]		MVP	Elfrid Payton (NYK): +20.7%
Sacramento Kings	101		Comeback	18.4 [24]		LVP	RJ Barrett (NYK): -12.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elfrid Payton	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21	0.07	0.14	-0.00	13	57%	0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damyean Dotson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.09	-0.00	6	92%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	9	78%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.16	0.13	0.06	0.03	17	67%	0.20	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Bobby Portis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	9	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Knox II	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	14	29%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.12	-0.03	10	70%	0.25	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	55%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	10	50%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.03	14	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.21,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.19	-0.17	0.03	23	74%	0.11	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	6	58%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.2	24.9	14.8	26.2	2.5	36.7	131.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +15.6%

NYK +3.5%

NYK +27.4%

NYK +4.7%

SAC -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	15.3	15.8	14.2	110.8	109.8	109.6
season	14.5	14.3		105.4	109.0
opponent	14.5	14.4		110.9	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	15.0	14.7	15.6	15.3
SAC	14.2	17.7	14.7	17.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elfrid Payton	49	50	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.38	19	-17	36	14.8	15.8	-0.96	17.1	14.4	2.66
Bobby Portis	45	44	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.41	17	-15	32	14.4	16.1	-1.77	17.4	14.5	2.91
Taj Gibson	41	41	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.59	-2	4	-6	16.7	14.2	2.58	16.0	15.7	0.36
Marcus Morris Sr.	56	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.55	-4	6	-10	16.3	13.8	2.46	15.3	16.7	-1.41
Julius Randle	70	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.56	-5	7	-12	16.0	13.2	2.81	15.3	17.6	-2.35
Damyean Dotson	32	33	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.16	15	-13	28	13.1	16.4	-3.35	17.8	14.8	3.03
RJ Barrett	60	59	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.54	-11	13	-24	16.7	12.7	4.02	14.8	17.8	-3.03
Kevin Knox II	37	34	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.11	6	-4	10	13.8	16.3	-2.46	16.7	15.3	1.41
Mitchell Robinson	51	50	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.18	5	-3	8	14.4	16.3	-1.90	16.0	15.7	0.29
Frank Ntilikina	46	43	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	0.16	-20	22	-42	15.1	15.5	-0.36	14.1	17.4	-3.29

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	52	53	0.44	-0.94	1.37	0.05	13	-15	28	15.1	16.8	-1.64	15.9	14.4	1.52
Trevor Ariza	45	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.08	-6	4	-10	17.0	14.8	2.21	15.1	15.4	-0.32
Buddy Hield	68	71	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.50	12	-14	26	15.7	16.4	-0.71	15.5	14.7	0.80
Marvin Bagley III	41	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	6	-14	17.0	14.9	2.17	14.3	16.1	-1.79
Yogi Ferrell	21	20	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.10	-12	10	-22	17.9	15.2	2.67	13.1	15.9	-2.79
Richaun Holmes	51	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.50	6	-8	14	14.9	17.0	-2.17	16.1	14.3	1.79
Cory Joseph	54	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.59	4	-6	10	14.8	17.3	-2.55	16.7	13.4	3.33
Harrison Barnes	73	72	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.47	-8	6	-14	15.5	17.2	-1.72	15.1	16.0	-0.92
Bogdan Bogdanovic	55	56	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.44	-11	9	-20	16.5	14.8	1.73	14.3	16.8	-2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.22,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 100, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.81,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.24,0.09,0	92.5%
SEA 84, LAC 78	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.76,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.31,0.36,0.14,0.16,0	91.4%
MIA 90, GSW 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.53,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.04,0	91.3%