NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	100		Excitement	6.4 [518]		MVP	Jodie Meeks (LAL): +27.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	93		Comeback	31.3 [24]		LVP	Byron Mullens (CHA): -12.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.14	0.01	7	100%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.10	0.00	12	63%	0.19	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	6	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.01	15	53%	0.15	3	-0.13	8	100%	0.07
Dwight Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	60%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Metta World Peace	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	14	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Earl Clark	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	14	55%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Steve Blake	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.02	5	80%	0.10	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	17	50%	0.12	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	15	53%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	13	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	12	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	5	29%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.13	-0.00	18	51%	0.02	3	-0.15	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	27.5	15.8	25.5	2.5	32.2	129.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +37.5%

LAL +12.6%

LAL +3.4%

CHA -4.9%

LAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHA	NBA	LAL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.7	14.9	15.4	102.0	95.9	104.1
season	14.9	15.6		106.0	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.3		109.8	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.6	14.4	15.3	15.5	14.7
CHA	13.5	15.6	14.1	16.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Clark	70	72	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.24	14	-7	21	14.5	15.1	-0.67	14.9	14.8	0.16
Dwight Howard	77	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	7	-7	14.7	14.6	0.12	15.3	13.2	2.15
Jodie Meeks	62	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-4	15	15.8	12.8	2.98	13.7	16.8	-3.13
Steve Nash	69	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.45	-4	11	-15	14.4	15.3	-0.87	14.9	14.7	0.21
Kobe Bryant	78	77	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	9	-11	14.1	16.7	-2.56	14.6	16.0	-1.42
Antawn Jamison	36	35	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	-2	11	16.3	13.7	2.64	13.8	15.5	-1.68
Steve Blake	35	36	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.17	11	-4	15	14.1	15.0	-0.85	15.4	14.6	0.82
Metta World Peace	63	62	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	11	-15	14.0	15.8	-1.72	16.0	12.9	3.16

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	52	50	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-6	5	15.5	14.2	1.34	13.7	15.7	-2.01
Brendan Haywood	5	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-4	1	14.8	14.9	-0.08	15.2	14.6	0.57
Jeff Taylor	24	22	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	0.18	-11	4	-15	13.9	15.2	-1.28	17.1	14.0	3.13
Bismack Biyombo	63	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-12	17	15.8	13.1	2.71	14.7	14.6	0.07
Ben Gordon	49	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	4	-15	14.3	15.5	-1.23	15.6	13.8	1.78
Gerald Henderson	79	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-5	3	14.5	16.7	-2.27	14.4	16.2	-1.81
Kemba Walker	75	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.50	6	-13	19	15.1	14.0	1.07	14.2	16.5	-2.37
Byron Mullens	80	81	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-8	9	14.8	15.1	-0.22	14.1	17.2	-3.11
Ramon Sessions	58	58	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.29	-19	12	-31	14.5	15.4	-0.89	15.6	13.3	2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.81,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.24,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 106, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.53,0.31,0.55,0.14,0.15,0	93.8%
MIN 107, BKN 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.79,0.87,0.77,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.23,0.04,0	93.2%
SEA 84, LAC 78	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.76,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.31,0.36,0.14,0.16,0	92.3%