inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 114 Excitement6.6 [519] MVPLuguentz Dort (OKC): +28.4%
Detroit Pistons 103 Comeback10.6 [105] LVPKillian Hayes (DET): -12.7%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luguentz Dort0.280,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.280.160.130.011965%0.301-0.025100%0.02
Mike Muscala0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.050.130.00667%0.1900.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.070.100.01867%0.1600.00250%-0.03
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.120.070.070.022055%0.182-0.061580%0.02
Tre Mann0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.03-0.00470%0.0800.002100%0.02
Derrick Favors0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.020.01475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Darius Bazley-0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00558%0.012-0.03250%-0.01
Ty Jerome-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Josh Giddey-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.040.01686%0.094-0.112100%0.01
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01520%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.03-0.00420%-0.061-0.0420%-0.06

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.02570%0.0700.0000%0.00
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.06-0.00736%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jerami Grant0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.011661%0.113-0.071100%0.00
Saddiq Bey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.030.030.010.02-0.001644%0.0300.002100%0.01
Saben Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.01945%0.031-0.03250%-0.01
Isaiah Stewart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00367%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Luka Garza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Cade Cunningham0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.05-0.012458%0.156-0.1800%0.00
Frank Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.02-0.01633%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Killian Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.04-0.11-0.02947%-0.053-0.071100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.431.514.524.31.632.5132.2
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +39.8%
OKC +15.4%
DET -18.3%
OKC +15.1%
DET -1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDETNBAOKCDETNBA
this game14.114.414.5114.0101.0110.8
season14.414.6103.2105.0
opponent14.414.4112.6111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.615.914.511.714.1
DET12.015.415.514.914.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenrich Williams54550.86-0.361.210.2122-113313.614.7-1.0015.113.61.53
Mike Muscala33360.450.050.410.2283513.314.5-1.2512.315.5-3.20
Luguentz Dort80820.430.070.360.2856-113.715.8-2.1713.916.3-2.42
Darius Bazley65650.430.070.360.40110-914.114.2-0.0912.917.0-4.08
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander79810.420.080.340.2565113.516.2-2.6914.115.7-1.59
Derrick Favors34330.200.30-0.09-0.0692713.814.3-0.4317.313.04.29
Tre Mann25260.060.44-0.38-0.1574315.213.81.4017.413.44.05
Aleksej Pokusevski22220.020.48-0.46-0.1047-316.513.43.0116.113.92.15
Ty Jerome78-0.000.50-0.51-0.0629-714.414.10.3412.214.6-2.34
Josh Giddey6364-0.100.60-0.70-0.1629-714.513.50.9914.714.00.68
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl3838-0.270.77-1.040.05-1122-3315.213.51.7314.114.6-0.56

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trey Lyles28260.05-0.550.610.14-3-8516.713.53.1915.613.61.98
Saben Lee41400.01-0.510.510.12-4-7316.413.03.4114.913.61.27
Luka Garza99-0.04-0.460.420.08-4-7315.814.31.5111.314.4-3.05
Josh Jackson2927-0.04-0.460.410.16-7-4-314.914.20.6915.513.61.93
Frank Jackson3434-0.13-0.370.230.16-10-1-917.213.04.2114.414.00.41
Saddiq Bey8584-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.32-2-9714.315.1-0.8614.511.82.74
Cade Cunningham8078-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.26-7-4-314.215.3-1.1113.416.5-3.01
Jerami Grant7877-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.28-7-4-313.417.7-4.2713.715.5-1.83
Killian Hayes6160-0.510.01-0.51-0.30-7-4-313.016.4-3.4113.614.9-1.27
Isaiah Stewart6565-0.510.01-0.53-0.40-4-7313.216.5-3.2713.914.5-0.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.62,0.22,0.06,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 74, POR 710.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.21,0.15,0.04,091.6%
CHA 116, DET 1060.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.47,0.29,0.03,0,090.9%
LAL 100, CHA 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.81,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.24,0.09,090.8%