NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	116		Excitement	5.9 [640]		MVP	Al Jefferson (CHA): +20.4%
Detroit Pistons	106		Comeback	36.2 [13]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): -9.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.03	0.17	-0.00	24	47%	0.22	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.04
Kemba Walker	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.10	17	79%	0.26	4	-0.08	9	100%	0.03
Gerald Henderson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	-0.02	0.04	13	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.01	7	59%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Ramon Sessions	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.01	7	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Bismack Biyombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	0.00	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.04	0.03	20	58%	0.11	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Josh Harrellson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	-0.01	-0.03	7	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	9	59%	0.08	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	20	43%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	13	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	32.3	16.6	24.4	2.4	29.5	130.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +17.2%

CHA +17.5%

DET -0.6%

CHA +13.5%

CHA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DET	NBA	CHA	DET	NBA
this game	14.7	14.7	15.1	119.6	107.1	105.2
season	15.7	15.0		102.4	104.7
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.4	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.5	14.4	15.4	14.4	14.7
DET	13.2	13.8	15.2	16.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	56	55	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.19	14	-4	18	14.5	14.9	-0.38	14.4	15.1	-0.65
Josh McRoberts	56	59	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-1	12	15.3	13.9	1.43	14.8	14.6	0.14
Al Jefferson	68	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	1	8	15.3	13.3	1.95	13.7	17.3	-3.65
Gerald Henderson	70	74	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	2	6	15.3	13.1	2.23	13.7	17.6	-3.92
Kemba Walker	71	75	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	-2	14	15.0	13.9	1.09	14.0	16.9	-2.86
Ben Gordon	28	28	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	9	-8	14.0	15.0	-1.01	15.9	14.2	1.65
Ramon Sessions	34	32	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	11	-12	14.0	15.0	-1.05	16.7	13.7	3.02
Bismack Biyombo	29	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	9	-8	13.3	15.3	-1.95	17.3	13.7	3.65
Jeff Taylor	1	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	12	-14	16.0	14.7	1.33	11.5	14.8	-3.27
Cody Zeller	41	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	11	-12	13.9	15.3	-1.43	14.6	14.8	-0.14
Chris Douglas-Roberts	31	31	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	12	-14	14.3	14.9	-0.62	16.3	14.0	2.31

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Harrellson	36	36	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.07	12	-22	34	14.8	14.7	0.15	14.7	14.7	0.02
Will Bynum	26	26	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-7	4	16.5	14.1	2.48	13.2	15.2	-2.09
Chauncey Billups	26	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.06	-3	-7	4	17.4	13.8	3.63	13.1	15.3	-2.23
Greg Monroe	72	72	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	0	-10	14.2	16.1	-1.88	14.6	14.8	-0.21
Josh Smith	84	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-8	6	14.0	18.7	-4.67	15.2	11.8	3.38
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	47	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	-3	-4	13.6	15.7	-2.03	15.4	14.0	1.35
Kyle Singler	50	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	-4	-2	15.4	14.0	1.32	14.8	14.6	0.25
Brandon Jennings	80	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	0	-10	13.9	18.0	-4.07	15.0	13.5	1.49
Andre Drummond	74	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.01	-21	11	-32	15.5	12.5	2.98	14.4	15.2	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.47,0.29,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 74, POR 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	92.5%
PHX 103, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.58,0.64,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.23,0.17,0	91.5%
CLE 93, TOR 90	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.47,0.28,0.43,0.03,0	91.3%