NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	105		Excitement	8.2 [191]		MVP	Jaden Ivey (DET): +18.1%
Detroit Pistons	108		Comeback	5.7 [356]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -25.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Gillespie	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	10	78%	0.24	3	-0.12	3	67%	0.02
Grayson Allen	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.11	0.13	0.00	0.01	25	61%	0.16	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.05
Ryan Dunn	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rasheer Fleming	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oso Ighodaro	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Isaiah Livers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	8	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Royce O'Neale	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.09	-0.02	11	46%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Dillon Brooks	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	16	41%	-0.11	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	-0.00	8	94%	0.25	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.03	0.01	12	70%	0.16	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.01	11	62%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jalen Duren	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	13	59%	0.15	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Daniss Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	1	125%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	5	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	6	52%	0.08	5	-0.20	9	56%	0.01
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26	-0.26	-0.26	-0.04	-0.04	16	24%	-0.12	5	-0.13	9	44%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	0.0	46.6	0.0	29.0	0.0	38.6	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +37.5%

DET +9.2%

DET +18.8%

PHX -15.3%

PHX -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DET	NBA	PHX	DET	NBA
this game	13.5	14.1	14.2	101.9	102.9	113.5
season	14.1	14.1		113.1	115.3
opponent	14.2	14.6		107.0	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.9	12.3	13.0	15.0	13.5
DET	15.3	11.0	17.0	14.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheer Fleming	19	23	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.06	0	-3	3	10.8	14.1	-3.32	12.2	14.7	-2.45
Isaiah Livers	66	66	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-5	7	13.7	13.1	0.65	16.5	10.2	6.25
Ryan Dunn	98	100	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-2	1	13.6	12.0	1.57	14.6	5.6	8.96
Grayson Allen	101	102	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-5	7	13.4	19.5	-6.12	14.3	7.7	6.66
Collin Gillespie	102	104	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	2	-7	13.6	2.0	11.61	14.3	1.0	13.26
Oso Ighodaro	103	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	13.5	0.0	13.50	14.1	0.0	14.13
Royce O'Neale	101	103	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	3	-9	13.6	9.5	4.07	14.4	2.5	11.86
Jordan Goodwin	103	104	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.37	-6	3	-9	13.5	0.0	13.50	14.3	0.0	14.27
Dillon Brooks	81	83	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.17	-15	12	-27	13.4	13.9	-0.47	15.2	10.2	4.94
Mark Williams	74	73	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.29	-15	12	-27	13.4	13.8	-0.37	14.7	12.9	1.72

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	84	81	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.31	19	-16	35	13.3	17.4	-4.12	13.8	12.3	1.55
Jalen Duren	82	81	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.36	17	-14	31	14.2	14.0	0.12	13.3	14.3	-1.05
Duncan Robinson	89	87	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.36	14	-11	25	13.6	16.9	-3.23	13.4	13.8	-0.38
Cade Cunningham	95	93	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.33	13	-10	23	14.2	13.7	0.48	13.4	14.7	-1.33
Javonte Green	96	95	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-4	11	14.4	11.7	2.70	13.2	17.1	-3.94
Jaden Ivey	71	73	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	-1	5	15.8	10.7	5.07	14.1	11.9	2.20
Ausar Thompson	73	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	3	-3	15.7	10.6	5.09	13.9	12.2	1.73
Isaiah Stewart	89	85	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	-5	13	14.1	14.2	-0.14	14.1	10.4	3.70
Ronald Holland II	102	100	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.41	-2	5	-7	14.3	7.7	6.66	13.5	13.7	-0.18
Caris LeVert	68	68	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.22	-4	7	-11	16.0	10.8	5.17	13.8	12.9	0.88
Daniss Jenkins	24	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	0	3	11.8	14.8	-3.04	11.6	14.0	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.31,0.16,0.17,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.2,0.3,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.53,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.72,0.84,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 85, CHH 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.86,0.97,0.97,1,1	91.0%
IND 91, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.54,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.97,0.98,1	90.9%
HOU 93, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.81,0.97,0.98,1,1	90.6%