NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	111		Excitement	8.3 [183]		MVP	GG Jackson (MEM): +24.2%
Orlando Magic	118		Comeback	9.2 [227]		LVP	Cam Spencer (MEM): -16.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
GG Jackson	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.16	0.10	0.02	6	107%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Vince Williams Jr.	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.07,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	-0.01	0.14	-0.02	7	62%	0.21	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Santi Aldama	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.00	11	72%	0.16	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.02
Cedric Coward	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	12	65%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jock Landale	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	60%	0.03	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.04	0.03	22	64%	0.23	4	-0.20	3	100%	0.02
John Konchar	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.01	4	60%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Jaylen Wells	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	4	0%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cam Spencer	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.17,-0.17	-0.04	-0.13	0.01	7	41%	-0.13	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.06	-0.01	16	72%	0.30	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.05
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.10	0.04	13	72%	0.23	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	3	87%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.08	-0.01	16	50%	0.21	4	-0.16	4	75%	-0.03
Noah Penda	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	6	64%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	7	56%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	11	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	13	46%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	0.0	35.3	0.0	30.6	0.0	37.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +22.2%

MEM -1.8%

ORL +36.9%

MEM -8.9%

ORL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	ORL	NBA	MEM	ORL	NBA
this game	13.2	15.0	14.2	108.8	115.7	113.5
season	13.8	14.1		112.3	112.5
opponent	14.1	14.3		112.4	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	11.7	12.4	15.7	13.3	13.2
ORL	18.6	12.4	15.7	13.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
GG Jackson	76	77	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.38	8	-15	23	13.7	11.7	2.08	16.4	10.6	5.75
Santi Aldama	88	88	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-7	7	13.0	14.4	-1.42	14.8	16.3	-1.51
John Konchar	81	82	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-8	9	13.7	11.5	2.18	16.2	9.9	6.32
Jaylen Wells	52	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	5	-17	14.0	12.4	1.54	14.5	15.5	-1.06
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	58	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	4	-15	14.0	12.2	1.80	15.7	14.0	1.61
Jock Landale	85	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	5	-17	13.9	9.9	3.92	15.0	14.9	0.04
Cam Spencer	87	86	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	7	-21	14.0	8.5	5.56	14.8	16.1	-1.36
Vince Williams Jr.	82	84	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.29	-13	6	-19	14.0	9.8	4.17	15.4	13.2	2.13
Cedric Coward	90	89	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.18	-17	10	-27	13.7	9.8	3.82	14.5	18.2	-3.64
Jaren Jackson Jr.	86	86	-0.81	0.30	-1.11	-0.16	-22	15	-37	13.8	9.7	4.10	14.4	18.3	-3.95

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Franz Wagner	86	87	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.14	21	-14	35	14.6	17.2	-2.69	13.7	10.3	3.45
Anthony Black	90	90	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.25	16	-9	25	14.7	16.7	-2.01	13.8	8.5	5.33
Paolo Banchero	93	93	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-5	17	14.8	17.3	-2.58	13.7	7.7	6.08
Desmond Bane	88	89	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-7	21	14.5	17.9	-3.33	13.8	9.2	4.56
Wendell Carter Jr.	80	80	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.16	10	-3	13	14.3	17.5	-3.15	13.5	12.0	1.48
Moritz Wagner	64	63	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.24	-2	9	-11	16.3	12.8	3.45	14.4	11.2	3.20
Goga Bitadze	62	61	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.25	-3	10	-13	16.3	12.9	3.38	13.8	12.3	1.53
Tyus Jones	62	60	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	10	-13	16.3	12.9	3.38	13.8	12.3	1.52
Tristan da Silva	87	88	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	8	-9	15.3	12.9	2.40	13.7	9.9	3.80
Noah Penda	58	56	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.13	-2	9	-11	16.5	13.0	3.56	14.4	11.7	2.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.25,0.21,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.65,0.62,0.31,0.37,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 107, NYK 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.66,0.79,0.86,0.94,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.92,1	89.9%
NJN 87, DAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.9,0.87,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	89.5%
PHX 116, NOP 125	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.77,1,1	89.4%