NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	116		Excitement	8.4 [218]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +36.0%
New Orleans Pelicans	125		Comeback	6.5 [525]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (NOP): -16.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	28	60%	0.19	3	-0.04	11	82%	0.01
Josh Jackson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	15	49%	0.07	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.06
Marquese Chriss	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	5	64%	0.04	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Shaquille Harrison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.07	-0.02	21	49%	0.07	1	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Alex Len	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Elfrid Payton	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	17	44%	0.03	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.03

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.24	0.13	0.01	29	63%	0.39	1	-0.03	26	81%	0.20
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.05	0.01	5	93%	0.17	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.10	-0.00	6	38%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
DeAndre Liggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.03	13	67%	0.12	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Walter Lemon Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	13	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.04	9	30%	-0.02	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	31.3	14.6	28.2	1.8	39.0	142.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +20.9%

NOP +27.3%

NOP +9.6%

PHX -3.7%

PHX -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOP	NBA	PHX	NOP	NBA
this game	13.8	12.3	14.7	104.5	114.7	107.5
season	14.2	13.6		102.6	108.0
opponent	14.6	14.3		107.0	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	13.7	15.9	11.4	13.8
NOP	13.3	10.3	10.8	15.3	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille Harrison	5	4	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.04	5	-14	19	9.0	14.1	-5.07	12.5	12.3	0.18
Alex Len	51	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.08	2	-11	13	13.8	13.9	-0.14	10.8	13.6	-2.79
Dragan Bender	57	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-6	3	14.8	12.8	2.03	11.7	12.9	-1.22
Marquese Chriss	40	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-6	3	14.6	13.4	1.27	13.5	11.7	1.81
Josh Jackson	66	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-8	7	13.3	14.6	-1.32	13.8	10.1	3.66
Devin Booker	95	93	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-6	3	13.4	16.4	-2.96	12.5	11.1	1.49
Troy Daniels	59	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	2	-13	13.8	13.9	-0.05	12.5	12.1	0.45
TJ Warren	99	97	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	1	-11	13.7	15.2	-1.58	12.0	14.8	-2.81
Elfrid Payton	83	82	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.17	-21	12	-33	14.2	12.6	1.60	11.9	13.7	-1.78

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	83	83	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.21	18	-9	27	11.8	14.0	-2.24	14.1	13.1	0.93
Nikola Mirotic	57	56	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.27	12	-3	15	13.1	11.5	1.59	13.9	13.7	0.22
Jrue Holiday	77	78	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.07	14	-5	19	11.7	13.9	-2.23	13.9	13.8	0.11
Emeka Okafor	41	43	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	1	7	11.1	13.0	-1.90	15.2	13.0	2.28
Anthony Davis	89	90	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	0	9	12.1	13.3	-1.25	13.7	14.6	-0.96
Darius Miller	58	60	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	6	-3	13.2	11.4	1.76	13.1	14.7	-1.61
E'Twaun Moore	69	71	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.02	3	6	-3	11.2	14.2	-3.03	13.5	14.3	-0.80
Ian Clark	47	49	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	16	-23	13.1	11.7	1.40	13.8	13.9	-0.08
DeAndre Liggins	14	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	16	-23	16.4	11.7	4.70	14.0	13.8	0.19
Walter Lemon Jr.	10	10	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.07	-8	17	-25	17.8	11.8	6.02	13.1	13.9	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.77,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, DAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.9,0.87,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	92.9%
CHI 92, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.79,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.9,0.96,1	92.6%
NYK 89, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.55,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.1%