NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	107		Excitement	7.1 [407]		MVP	Mitchell Robinson (NYK): +20.6%
New York Knicks	111		Comeback	6.2 [684]		LVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (NYK): -7.7%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Thomas	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.13	0.20	-0.05	0.03	26	69%	0.33	4	-0.20	7	100%	0.06
Jalen Wilson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Noah Clowney	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	64%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	8	31%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Gilyard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.07	0.01	13	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	45%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Trendon Watford	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	10	65%	0.10	5	-0.17	6	67%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.12	0.02	6	75%	0.21	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.07
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.11	0.00	25	53%	0.20	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.07	0.00	9	80%	0.22	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	13	58%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	12	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	29.1	14.6	24.4	2.4	37.4	134.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +6.8%

NYK +18.8%

BKN -15.3%

NYK +40.3%

BKN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	NYK	NBA	BKN	NYK	NBA
this game	16.4	15.8	14.5	120.2	123.3	113.9
season	14.8	15.6		111.9	116.8
opponent	14.4	14.5		112.7	114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	17.4	14.8	19.3	14.5	16.4
NYK	18.6	14.0	14.3	16.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Wilson	58	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.41	9	-13	22	15.9	17.3	-1.44	17.0	13.4	3.60
Jacob Gilyard	22	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	5	-14	16.5	16.3	0.22	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Mikal Bridges	44	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-3	2	17.9	14.9	2.98	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Lonnie Walker IV	62	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.33	5	-9	14	15.2	19.1	-3.86	16.1	15.1	0.98
Noah Clowney	54	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	10	-24	16.5	16.2	0.35	14.1	18.3	-4.22
Trendon Watford	70	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.45	1	-5	6	16.5	16.0	0.49	15.8	15.9	-0.12
Nic Claxton	66	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	-1	-2	16.7	15.4	1.28	16.1	15.0	1.09
Cam Thomas	69	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.32	-8	4	-12	16.3	16.6	-0.28	15.6	16.4	-0.84

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Brunson	66	67	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-3	10	15.4	16.9	-1.52	17.0	14.4	2.68
Donte DiVincenzo	82	81	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	-1	6	15.7	17.0	-1.32	16.3	16.7	-0.40
Josh Hart	76	75	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.49	1	3	-2	15.7	16.1	-0.41	16.4	16.5	-0.14
OG Anunoby	62	62	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.37	4	0	4	15.7	16.0	-0.24	16.9	15.3	1.61
Jericho Sims	42	44	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	-9	22	15.0	16.5	-1.59	17.6	15.2	2.44
Mitchell Robinson	48	45	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.39	-9	13	-22	16.5	15.0	1.59	15.2	17.6	-2.44
Bojan Bogdanovic	36	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	5	-6	16.2	15.5	0.66	15.6	16.9	-1.29
Precious Achiuwa	14	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.11	3	1	2	16.1	15.7	0.41	16.5	16.4	0.14
Alec Burks	24	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	7	-10	16.9	15.4	1.52	14.4	17.0	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.66,0.79,0.86,0.94,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 116, NOP 125	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.77,1,1	92.7%
NJN 87, DAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.9,0.87,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	92.0%
NYK 89, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.55,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.96,0.99,1,1	91.6%