NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	126		Excitement	8.7 [142]		MVP	Nikola Vu?evi? (CHI): +58.0%
Chicago Bulls	128		Comeback	1.6 [442]		LVP	Coby White (CHI): -39.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brice Sensabaugh	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.49	0.33	0.19	0.02	22	83%	0.56	2	-0.07	8	100%	0.05
Keyonte George	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.12,0.18	0.10	0.11	0.03	17	57%	0.25	2	-0.07	10	90%	0.10
Kyle Anderson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	0.00	4	78%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kyle Filipowski	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01	0.08	-0.08	-0.01	15	63%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Taylor Hendricks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.08	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Ace Bailey	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	9	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cody Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Walter Clayton Jr.	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vu?evi?	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.58	0.58	0.21	0.40	0.03	22	70%	0.63	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19	0.19	0.02	0.17	0.00	7	62%	0.24	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.08
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.05	0.00	6	93%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	7	79%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	10	57%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	11	65%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	41%	-0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.39	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	7	37%	-0.16	5	-0.23	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	0.0	26.2	0.0	26.2	0.0	38.8	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +38.2%

UTA -15.0%

CHI +31.6%

UTA -5.4%

CHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHI	NBA	UTA	CHI	NBA
this game	13.2	14.5	14.2	123.5	121.9	113.6
season	14.0	13.6		113.0	113.6
opponent	14.3	13.6		115.7	121.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.0	16.3	11.3	12.5	13.2
CHI	14.0	13.1	15.7	15.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter Clayton Jr.	70	74	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.14	5	-7	12	12.8	14.3	-1.51	14.6	14.3	0.34
Ace Bailey	99	102	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.41	2	-4	6	13.4	9.7	3.69	14.4	18.3	-3.91
Taylor Hendricks	74	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	7	-16	13.9	11.5	2.41	14.4	14.8	-0.39
Kyle Anderson	90	93	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.17	-9	7	-16	13.9	8.5	5.38	14.5	14.9	-0.43
Brice Sensabaugh	102	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	13.2	0.0	13.25	14.5	0.0	14.53
Isaiah Collier	63	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.13	-15	13	-28	14.6	11.1	3.51	14.7	14.3	0.37
Keyonte George	90	92	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.48	-6	4	-10	13.4	11.9	1.51	15.1	10.7	4.38
Cody Williams	90	91	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.47	-7	5	-12	13.3	12.6	0.75	14.9	12.4	2.43
Kyle Filipowski	71	71	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.39	-11	9	-20	13.7	12.2	1.56	14.7	14.1	0.66

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vu?evi?	83	82	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.36	6	-4	10	14.6	14.2	0.44	13.5	12.4	1.05
Jalen Smith	88	85	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-9	20	14.8	13.1	1.69	14.0	9.5	4.53
Coby White	89	87	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	-3	8	14.9	12.7	2.18	13.5	11.5	2.01
Patrick Williams	83	81	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-9	20	14.7	14.0	0.67	13.9	10.6	3.37
Isaac Okoro	83	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	-1	4	15.2	12.1	3.03	13.6	11.6	2.05
Tre Jones	105	102	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	14.5	0.0	14.53	13.2	0.0	13.25
Kevin Huerter	96	93	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.42	2	0	2	14.5	14.8	-0.27	13.4	11.6	1.85
Ayo Dosunmu	89	87	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	-4	10	15.2	10.6	4.68	13.7	10.5	3.18
Matas Buzelis	64	63	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	-1	4	14.7	14.2	0.51	13.9	12.2	1.73
Dalen Terry	57	55	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.00	-6	8	-14	15.2	13.7	1.44	12.9	13.6	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.54,0.41,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.71,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 114, MEM 122	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.83,0.73,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.92,1	92.6%
MIN 95, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,1	92.6%
MIA 92, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.91,1	92.4%