NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	114		Excitement	7.2 [413]		MVP	Mario Chalmers (MEM): +33.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	122		Comeback	1.7 [699]		LVP	Kyle Singler (OKC): -10.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.06	-0.02	6	89%	0.20	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.04
Russell Westbrook	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.14	0.16	0.01	0.02	19	78%	0.42	8	-0.28	13	69%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.00	2	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	78%	0.09	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	4	25%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	14	47%	0.01	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Serge Ibaka	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.05	0.06	16	53%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Kyle Singler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34	0.34	0.22	0.16	0.03	13	71%	0.36	1	-0.02	15	87%	0.03
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.18	0.08	0.01	13	76%	0.25	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.10	-0.00	13	59%	0.19	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.02	13	59%	0.11	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Russ Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	5	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	16	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	31.6	16.3	28.1	1.6	44.3	150.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC -2.0%

MEM +29.2%

OKC -9.6%

MEM +33.5%

OKC -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MEM	NBA	OKC	MEM	NBA
this game	14.2	15.6	14.9	118.8	125.8	105.1
season	14.4	15.7		111.5	103.4
opponent	14.8	15.1		106.7	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.4	16.4	11.3	13.9	14.2
MEM	14.6	15.6	19.2	13.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	57	55	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.21	9	-17	26	14.4	14.0	0.37	16.6	14.3	2.35
Kyle Singler	22	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-9	10	14.7	14.1	0.60	16.8	15.3	1.53
Russell Westbrook	76	76	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-10	12	14.2	14.3	-0.10	16.1	13.8	2.37
Serge Ibaka	68	68	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-10	12	14.4	13.7	0.76	16.1	14.5	1.62
Nick Collison	38	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-4	0	12.5	15.3	-2.84	14.9	16.1	-1.22
Steven Adams	51	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-4	0	15.2	13.1	2.04	16.1	15.1	0.95
Cameron Payne	25	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	0	-8	12.9	14.7	-1.81	14.4	16.1	-1.63
Enes Kanter	35	37	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	2	-12	14.3	14.2	0.06	14.9	16.1	-1.22
D.J. Augustin	32	33	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	6	-20	14.9	13.9	0.98	13.9	16.5	-2.64
Dion Waiters	76	77	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	6	-20	14.2	14.4	-0.29	15.2	17.2	-2.06

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	35	34	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.16	14	-6	20	14.5	16.3	-1.77	15.5	13.5	2.03
Marc Gasol	69	71	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.20	11	-3	14	15.6	15.8	-0.23	14.2	14.3	-0.14
JaMychal Green	63	59	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	8	-8	15.8	15.3	0.54	14.1	14.4	-0.30
Matt Barnes	26	26	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	1	6	14.0	16.2	-2.16	15.1	13.9	1.23
Mario Chalmers	51	50	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.03	9	-1	10	14.1	17.3	-3.16	12.4	16.2	-3.71
Tony Allen	53	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	8	-8	16.2	15.0	1.22	14.9	13.4	1.49
Zach Randolph	57	56	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	4	0	16.6	14.2	2.33	15.1	13.0	2.00
Jeff Green	68	68	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	9	-10	16.2	14.3	1.82	13.9	15.1	-1.20
Russ Smith	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	8	-8	0.0	15.8	-15.78	1.0	14.4	-13.36
Mike Conley	62	62	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	12	-16	16.3	14.3	2.00	14.0	14.6	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.83,0.73,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 83, HOU 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.67,0.77,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%
MIN 95, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,1	93.6%
SAS 97, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.88,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.4%