inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 97 Excitement6.7 [438] MVPBruce Bowen (SAS): +31.1%
Los Angeles Lakers 102 Comeback1.7 [737] LVPManu Ginobili (SAS): -20.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Bowen0.310,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.310.200.130.031381%0.3100.001100%0.01
Brent Barry0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.120.050.061171%0.1100.002100%0.02
Fabricio Oberto0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.05-0.00475%0.111-0.02475%-0.01
Robert Horry0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.003100%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Francisco Elson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.00375%0.0400.002100%0.01
Michael Finley-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.05-0.02-0.071339%0.031-0.04250%0.06
Ime Udoka-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00150%0.001-0.022100%0.01
Darius Washington-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.0600.00425%-0.05
Matt Bonner-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.120,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.01735%-0.053-0.07683%0.01
Manu Ginobili-0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.18-0.06-0.031738%0.007-0.203100%0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.100.090.003133%0.1900.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.080.012452%0.151-0.021090%0.03
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.040.00470%0.0900.00250%-0.01
Ronny Turiaf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.03-0.01580%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.010.03-0.051447%0.101-0.04425%-0.00
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.05-0.00850%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.02736%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.01841%0.001-0.04683%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.00633%-0.0600.00667%-0.04
Andrew Bynum0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01933%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game32.03.733.720.426.53.530.5150.3
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +16.3%
SAS -7.5%
LAL +15.4%
LAL +20.4%
LAL +5.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASLALNBASASLALNBA
this game15.513.715.498.0104.1105.7
season16.514.6104.7110.6
opponent15.215.3104.1100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.114.616.815.815.5
LAL13.711.613.816.213.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ime Udoka1615-0.02-0.480.47-0.165-101512.816.0-3.2213.313.8-0.53
Francisco Elson1313-0.05-0.450.390.00-2-3113.515.8-2.2813.113.8-0.73
Robert Horry4947-0.08-0.420.350.10-61-715.515.50.0315.312.23.08
Darius Washington2926-0.13-0.370.24-0.192-7913.016.6-3.5611.814.4-2.60
Jacque Vaughn3940-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-1-316.914.62.3213.214.1-0.91
Michael Finley4444-0.20-0.300.09-0.386-111715.115.8-0.7213.613.8-0.22
Fabricio Oberto7776-0.28-0.21-0.07-0.17-4-1-316.013.82.1813.215.4-2.19
Brent Barry6059-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.26-1-4314.916.4-1.4313.913.40.46
Bruce Bowen6667-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.19-50-516.314.02.3214.013.20.76
Manu Ginobili7272-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.09-127-1915.814.80.9613.614.1-0.49
Matt Bonner3031-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.35-4-1-316.515.11.4614.913.21.69

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vladimir Radmanovic35360.66-0.160.830.1617-122912.514.4-1.8215.915.30.59
Sasha Vujacic26270.57-0.070.630.1913-82113.913.60.2816.615.11.43
Ronny Turiaf49490.52-0.020.540.288-31113.813.60.1615.215.8-0.54
Jordan Farmar33340.470.030.450.219-41313.513.8-0.3515.815.40.47
Trevor Ariza34340.180.32-0.140.1223-114.713.21.5215.015.8-0.83
Luke Walton54530.120.38-0.250.24-49-1314.313.01.3015.315.8-0.54
Derek Fisher65650.030.47-0.450.14-49-1313.813.50.3515.415.8-0.47
Kobe Bryant79800.030.47-0.450.23-712-1913.614.3-0.7515.017.6-2.62
Andrew Bynum4950-0.020.52-0.540.07-38-1113.613.8-0.1615.815.20.54
Lamar Odom6667-0.060.56-0.620.12-611-1713.414.3-0.8416.014.61.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.88,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 101, NYK 1150.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.74,0.91,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,194.2%
LAL 106, PHX 1150.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,194.0%
CLE 83, HOU 910.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.67,0.77,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,193.5%