NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	101		Excitement	6.2 [555]		MVP	Buck Williams (NYK): +13.3%
New York Knicks	115		Comeback	1.6 [719]		LVP	Billy Owens (SAC): -17.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.03	-0.03	20	56%	0.16	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.02
Corliss Williamson	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	60%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Olden Polynice	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.03	0.04	13	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	8	37%	-0.07
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	13	59%	0.10	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Duane Causwell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Bobby Hurley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lloyd Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.07	4	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Lionel Simmons	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	3	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	8	33%	-0.06	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	8	84%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.07	0.01	5	83%	0.16	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	20	62%	0.05	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	10	52%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	13	50%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	63%	0.06	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.04
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.8	28.5	15.8	23.7	1.8	31.2	128.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +24.4%

NYK +0.2%

NYK +12.9%

NYK +13.2%

SAC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NYK	NBA	SAC	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	15.1	15.6	109.8	123.7	104.4
season	15.4	15.1		102.4	102.0
opponent	16.1	15.4		98.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.2	14.2	16.6	18.5	16.1
NYK	14.2	16.5	16.1	13.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Hurley	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-13	12	12.0	16.2	-4.18	10.3	15.2	-4.88
Lloyd Daniels	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-13	12	12.0	16.2	-4.18	10.3	15.2	-4.88
Duane Causwell	18	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-11	8	14.5	16.5	-1.97	15.7	14.9	0.79
Tyus Edney	35	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-8	2	14.6	17.0	-2.35	15.7	14.7	1.06
Corliss Williamson	49	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-11	8	16.3	15.9	0.38	15.3	14.8	0.45
Billy Owens	65	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-9	4	15.7	17.0	-1.24	15.5	14.1	1.38
Lionel Simmons	25	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	-5	-4	17.4	15.6	1.75	14.7	15.2	-0.51
Michael Smith	39	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-6	-2	16.3	16.0	0.29	14.7	15.3	-0.54
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	71	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-10	6	16.4	15.1	1.22	14.9	15.5	-0.58
Olden Polynice	77	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	-1	-12	16.5	14.1	2.33	14.9	15.9	-1.05
Mitch Richmond	77	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.05	-17	3	-20	16.4	14.5	1.86	15.1	15.0	0.06

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wallace	35	34	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.09	22	-8	30	13.9	15.8	-1.92	16.8	15.7	1.08
Charles Oakley	77	75	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	0	14	15.3	13.7	1.65	16.0	16.3	-0.25
John Starks	39	37	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	0	14	14.4	15.6	-1.20	16.2	16.0	0.22
Chris Childs	53	51	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-2	18	14.1	16.3	-2.19	16.6	15.4	1.26
Buck Williams	46	46	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	4	6	14.1	16.0	-1.83	17.2	15.0	2.26
Patrick Ewing	63	63	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.09	4	10	-6	15.4	14.4	1.01	15.3	17.8	-2.44
Charlie Ward	40	41	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	16	-18	16.3	14.1	2.19	15.4	16.6	-1.26
Allan Houston	55	56	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	13	-12	15.6	14.3	1.34	15.7	16.7	-0.95
Larry Johnson	57	57	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.03	-9	23	-32	15.7	14.0	1.76	16.0	16.3	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.74,0.91,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 97, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.88,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
NYK 76, IND 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.95,1,1,1,1	94.1%
CLE 85, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	93.5%