NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	83		Excitement	5.8 [648]		MVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): +13.7%
Houston Rockets	91		Comeback	1.7 [758]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -27.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	12	54%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.08	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	21	49%	0.07	6	-0.16	1	0%	-0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	18	39%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	15	57%	0.03	8	-0.20	10	70%	-0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	0.00	7	75%	0.14	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.07	-0.03	8	74%	0.17	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.01	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	77%	0.15	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	57%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	21	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.20	-0.07	-0.00	13	14%	-0.22	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	26.4	15.4	21.6	1.6	32.2	122.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +26.8%

HOU +0.3%

CLE -4.2%

HOU +26.5%

HOU +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	HOU	NBA	CLE	HOU	NBA
this game	13.7	15.2	15.2	83.0	91.0	101.7
season	14.1	15.4		98.0	102.4
opponent	14.6	15.3		103.5	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.5	14.9	13.4	12.8	13.7
HOU	15.3	13.9	15.4	16.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Ferry	71	69	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.28	12	-20	32	13.2	14.9	-1.71	15.7	13.8	1.90
Andrew DeClercq	10	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-2	-4	19.1	13.0	6.06	11.5	15.6	-4.05
Shawn Kemp	65	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-7	6	12.8	15.2	-2.43	16.0	13.5	2.53
Earl Boykins	16	16	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	5	-18	15.9	13.2	2.65	11.3	15.9	-4.57
Pete Chilcutt	20	18	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-3	-2	14.4	13.5	0.94	12.9	15.6	-2.69
Lamond Murray	83	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	13.4	14.7	-1.27	15.4	13.6	1.82
Wesley Person	96	97	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-6	4	13.4	19.5	-6.09	15.3	10.7	4.62
Andre Miller	91	90	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-5	2	13.3	17.1	-3.80	15.4	12.6	2.83
Mark Bryant	48	48	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.13	-16	8	-24	14.9	12.5	2.32	14.7	15.5	-0.77

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	54	53	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.29	19	-11	30	15.0	15.4	-0.41	14.2	13.0	1.15
Bryce Drew	50	50	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.27	19	-11	30	15.0	15.3	-0.38	13.8	13.5	0.38
Kenny Thomas	64	64	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.26	10	-2	12	15.0	15.5	-0.50	13.3	14.2	-0.94
Shandon Anderson	88	88	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-3	14	15.1	15.7	-0.68	13.9	11.7	2.16
Kelvin Cato	56	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	3	2	16.1	13.9	2.22	13.3	14.1	-0.82
Hakeem Olajuwon	40	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.07	5	3	2	14.2	15.7	-1.50	14.7	13.0	1.79
Matt Bullard	40	40	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	12	-16	15.0	15.3	-0.29	13.6	13.7	-0.04
Steve Francis	50	50	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.00	-11	19	-30	15.3	15.0	0.38	13.5	13.8	-0.38
Walt Williams	58	59	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.03	-14	22	-36	15.4	14.7	0.71	12.8	14.9	-2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.67,0.77,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 106, PHX 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1	94.5%
OKC 126, ATL 142	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.59,0.56,0.37,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.95,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
DEN 118, MEM 133	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.57,0.72,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%