inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 92 Excitement7.3 [396] MVPPrimoz Brezec (CHA): +23.0%
Charlotte Bobcats 94 Comeback1.6 [917] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -23.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0.090,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.090.100.000.01973%0.0900.004100%0.02
Shandon Anderson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.020.00467%0.031-0.05450%-0.04
Steven Smith-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.012055%0.023-0.07729%-0.08
Damon Jones-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.060.01-0.070.001059%0.022-0.0820%-0.03
Wang Zhi-zhi-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00617%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Keyon Dooling-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.0020%-0.052-0.0700%0.00
Michael Doleac-0.140,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14-0.09-0.050.001233%-0.062-0.0900%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.230,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.23-0.13-0.11-0.002040%-0.162-0.07862%-0.05

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Primoz Brezec0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.230.230.090.140.002455%0.2300.001100%0.00
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.02-0.00382%0.0700.00580%0.02
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.010.01869%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Emeka Okafor0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.011250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0-0.00-0.040.04-0.00440%0.031-0.04250%-0.01
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Bernard Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Melvin Ely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00556%0.032-0.08683%0.01
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.001455%0.064-0.12367%-0.02
Brevin Knight0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.02-0.02925%-0.091-0.02250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.11.023.815.825.11.839.8133.3
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +40.1%
CHA +15.2%
MIA -15.0%
CHA +11.7%
MIA -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHANBAMIACHANBA
this game15.216.815.5103.4103.3104.0
season15.715.5107.999.0
opponent15.115.5105.4101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.619.316.212.015.2
CHA16.617.717.215.816.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shandon Anderson1113-0.12-0.380.260.03-53-818.514.83.7018.216.51.62
Wang Zhi-zhi1112-0.13-0.370.240.01-53-818.514.83.7019.216.42.86
Damon Jones6564-0.16-0.340.19-0.336-81415.414.80.5817.215.91.30
Steven Smith1212-0.18-0.320.15-0.180-2211.715.8-4.0015.716.9-1.27
Michael Doleac7272-0.23-0.270.04-0.261-3414.717.4-2.6417.016.00.97
Eddie Jones7676-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.436-81415.712.33.4016.915.91.08
Shaquille O'Neal6566-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.445-71215.813.62.1817.415.22.22
Keyon Dooling2528-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.07-86-1414.615.5-0.9115.417.4-2.04
Alonzo Mourning2931-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.13-86-1414.115.7-1.6014.517.9-3.42
Dwyane Wade7981-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.41-20-214.818.4-3.5916.518.6-2.06

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Hart48480.62-0.120.740.427-51216.616.9-0.2615.015.5-0.51
Primoz Brezec64630.54-0.040.570.2410-81817.215.71.5216.811.45.35
Melvin Ely52520.460.040.420.58-46-1015.818.1-2.2413.317.8-4.49
Matt Carroll28260.300.200.090.068-61417.116.60.5414.915.3-0.46
Gerald Wallace69680.270.230.040.42-57-1216.019.1-3.1214.716.9-2.15
Bernard Robinson20200.210.29-0.090.1520218.316.32.0314.715.4-0.66
Brevin Knight64630.160.34-0.170.37-79-1616.717.0-0.2815.314.90.46
Malik Allen15130.060.44-0.380.0311015.517.0-1.5612.015.8-3.76
Emeka Okafor5048-0.030.53-0.56-0.0302-217.915.42.4716.314.02.30
Jason Kapono4544-0.080.58-0.67-0.03-24-616.916.60.2816.214.22.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 88, POR 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,193.4%
MIL 111, NYK 1200.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,193.2%
NOP 97, SAS 1100.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,193.0%