NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	111		Excitement	6.4 [517]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +45.4%
New York Knicks	120		Comeback	1.4 [713]		LVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): -13.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.05	0.03	17	64%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	13	71%	0.16	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	13	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Desmond Mason	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.05	17	59%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Toni Kukoc	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	11	54%	0.09	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Jason Caffey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	10	46%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ervin Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.28	0.17	-0.00	25	74%	0.45	0	0.00	18	100%	0.12
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	5	72%	0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	10	75%	0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	68%	0.07	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	13	30%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.5	31.5	16.6	26.0	1.8	27.5	132.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +21.6%

NYK +22.1%

MIL -2.1%

NYK +4.1%

NYK +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	15.6	15.5	122.0	131.9	101.6
season	15.4	15.6		106.3	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		104.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.8	14.0	18.6	15.9	16.0
NYK	14.2	17.3	15.7	15.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	39	38	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-12	15	16.0	16.0	0.01	15.7	15.6	0.14
Dan Gadzuric	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-8	7	19.0	15.8	3.23	20.4	15.2	5.20
Sam Cassell	73	74	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-12	15	15.3	18.8	-3.44	15.8	15.1	0.70
Marcus Haislip	3	2	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-6	3	9.0	16.3	-7.26	18.5	15.6	2.94
Gary Payton	70	70	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-11	13	16.1	15.7	0.46	15.5	16.1	-0.61
Desmond Mason	76	74	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-7	5	16.0	16.2	-0.21	15.7	15.2	0.55
Tim Thomas	77	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-5	1	15.3	20.0	-4.70	15.7	15.5	0.19
Jason Caffey	24	26	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-1	-7	17.4	15.5	1.84	13.5	16.5	-2.92
Toni Kukoc	46	48	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.21	-12	3	-15	16.7	15.3	1.36	15.9	15.3	0.53
Michael Redd	40	40	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.12	-23	14	-37	16.9	15.3	1.66	15.4	15.8	-0.45

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	68	66	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.24	18	-9	27	15.3	16.7	-1.43	15.6	17.2	-1.57
Allan Houston	85	85	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	1	7	15.3	19.7	-4.33	15.8	18.8	-3.01
Shandon Anderson	41	41	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	1	7	16.2	15.2	0.99	15.4	16.5	-1.15
Clar. Weatherspoon	41	39	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	1	7	15.9	15.4	0.46	14.9	16.8	-1.88
Kurt Thomas	64	65	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	5	-1	15.7	15.4	0.26	16.5	14.9	1.54
Othella Harrington	62	63	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	3	3	15.5	15.8	-0.24	16.6	14.7	1.94
Latrell Sprewell	65	65	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	6	-3	15.7	15.4	0.34	16.5	14.8	1.65
Michael Doleac	6	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	13.2	15.8	-2.63	14.0	16.2	-2.16
Howard Eisley	23	25	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.01	-9	18	-27	16.7	15.3	1.43	17.2	15.6	1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.89,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
UTA 88, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%
ATL 92, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%