NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	92		Excitement	5.8 [635]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +17.5%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	1.6 [776]		LVP	Josh Howard (DAL): -8.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.06	0.03	18	67%	0.21	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	19	45%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	5	86%	0.14	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.03
Jason Kidd	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	-0.00	8	61%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	7	87%	0.16	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	14	53%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	4	69%	0.11	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.01	15	55%	0.08	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.04	0.06	16	66%	0.07	3	-0.09	6	83%	-0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.8	31.2	15.7	20.5	1.6	29.0	127.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +17.0%

UTA +7.9%

UTA +18.4%

UTA +3.8%

UTA +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	15.5	15.3	96.8	111.8	106.0
season	15.2	15.3		107.2	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.5		104.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.4	16.2	15.1	14.8	15.1
UTA	15.0	13.1	17.0	17.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	40	38	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.03	6	-18	24	15.1	15.1	0.02	15.3	15.6	-0.32
Eduardo Najera	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	14.2	15.2	-0.93	22.5	15.2	7.31
Matt Carroll	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	14.2	15.2	-0.93	22.5	15.2	7.31
Rodrigue Beaubois	2	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-10	8	14.0	15.2	-1.16	12.5	15.6	-3.07
Quinton Ross	16	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-10	8	15.7	15.0	0.74	15.5	15.5	-0.05
Josh Howard	24	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-7	2	14.3	15.4	-1.08	15.8	15.4	0.37
Jason Kidd	72	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-6	0	15.1	15.3	-0.16	15.7	15.0	0.61
Jason Terry	76	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-2	-8	14.9	16.2	-1.28	15.8	14.3	1.45
Dirk Nowitzki	81	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-2	-8	15.3	13.9	1.42	15.4	15.9	-0.43
Shawn Marion	65	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.05	-11	-1	-10	15.1	15.3	-0.19	15.1	16.6	-1.48
Jose Juan Barea	36	35	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-2	-8	15.9	14.7	1.26	14.0	16.4	-2.46
Drew Gooden	55	55	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.12	-18	6	-24	15.1	15.1	-0.02	15.6	15.3	0.32

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	65	66	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.13	24	-12	36	15.1	16.5	-1.47	15.4	14.6	0.79
CJ Miles	50	51	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.03	19	-7	26	14.8	16.3	-1.57	14.9	15.4	-0.42
Paul Millsap	77	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-1	14	16.1	12.7	3.33	15.5	13.4	2.17
Deron Williams	73	73	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-1	14	15.8	14.4	1.41	15.8	13.0	2.84
Kyrylo Fesenko	6	6	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	9	-6	12.3	15.7	-3.39	15.3	15.1	0.21
Andrei Kirilenko	73	74	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	13	-14	15.9	14.1	1.79	14.4	17.8	-3.37
Ronnie Brewer	42	44	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	15	-18	15.8	15.3	0.51	15.8	14.6	1.23
Ronnie Price	20	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	14.4	15.8	-1.41	13.0	15.8	-2.84
Mehmet Okur	59	61	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.03	-7	19	-26	15.5	15.5	0.01	15.0	15.5	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.89,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 85, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
MIL 111, NYK 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,1	93.6%
DET 110, OKC 123	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.41,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%