NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	97		Excitement	6.1 [606]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +22.1%
San Antonio Spurs	110		Comeback	1.9 [1195]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -13.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	9	50%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Alexis Ajinca	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	6	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	3	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Dejean-Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.01	22	55%	0.05	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.02
Alonzo Gee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	17	41%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.09	-0.03	18	50%	0.03	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.08	0.05	20	69%	0.28	2	-0.06	12	100%	0.04
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.03	-0.04	12	67%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.01	10	64%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.06	0.04	17	68%	0.20	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	8	37%	-0.00	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	27.3	15.3	23.4	2.3	27.7	120.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +57.3%

SAS +2.5%

NOP -19.3%

SAS +10.5%

NOP -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAS	NBA	NOP	SAS	NBA
this game	14.2	14.6	14.9	97.0	110.0	105.1
season	14.3	15.7		104.3	109.0
opponent	14.7	15.0		97.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.6	14.6	14.3	15.6	14.2
SAS	14.1	16.0	13.4	15.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	44	43	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.04	10	-23	33	14.3	14.1	0.13	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Bryce Dejean-Jones	48	47	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.04	7	-20	27	14.3	14.1	0.14	14.9	14.3	0.55
Alexis Ajinca	12	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-11	9	15.2	14.1	1.10	16.0	14.4	1.59
Dante Cunningham	39	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-13	13	14.9	13.7	1.19	14.0	15.1	-1.10
Alonzo Gee	37	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-5	-3	14.6	14.0	0.63	15.4	14.2	1.27
Norris Cole	73	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-5	-3	13.6	15.7	-2.06	14.2	15.5	-1.25
Anthony Davis	78	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.07	-12	-1	-11	14.1	14.7	-0.62	14.3	15.5	-1.21
Toney Douglas	45	45	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.08	-16	3	-19	14.3	14.1	0.24	14.8	14.4	0.40
Jrue Holiday	62	64	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.08	-19	6	-25	14.1	14.3	-0.23	14.6	14.7	-0.10
Ryan Anderson	62	63	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.14	-17	4	-21	14.0	14.5	-0.44	14.8	14.3	0.44

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	52	51	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.05	18	-5	23	14.2	15.0	-0.73	13.9	14.5	-0.57
Danny Green	79	79	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.19	9	4	5	14.8	13.7	1.12	14.6	12.8	1.76
Manu Ginobili	48	49	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	1	11	14.5	14.7	-0.15	13.1	15.3	-2.19
Kawhi Leonard	73	74	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	10	-7	14.5	14.7	-0.19	14.8	12.6	2.19
Tony Parker	59	60	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.17	2	11	-9	14.8	14.2	0.60	14.9	13.1	1.79
Boris Diaw	18	19	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	4	5	14.1	14.7	-0.60	13.2	14.4	-1.22
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	70	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.14	2	11	-9	14.6	14.6	0.03	14.6	13.3	1.24
Kyle Anderson	39	38	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	9	-5	14.8	14.4	0.40	13.9	14.4	-0.53
David West	57	57	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	13	-13	14.6	14.6	0.03	13.9	14.6	-0.75
Rasual Butler	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	13.0	14.6	-1.63	7.0	14.3	-7.27
Ray McCallum	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	13.0	14.6	-1.63	7.0	14.3	-7.27
Jonathon Simmons	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	13.0	14.6	-1.63	7.0	14.3	-7.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.9%
SAC 86, SAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.62,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.85,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
MIA 92, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.91,1	93.0%