NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	105		Excitement	6.4 [285]		MVP	Naji Marshall (DAL): +25.3%
Dallas Mavericks	113		Comeback	1.1 [419]		LVP	Nolan Traore (BKN): -14.4%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Porter Jr.	0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.02	-0.00	17	74%	0.27	6	-0.19	4	100%	0.02
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	70%	0.13	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Tyrese Martin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	8	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	9	65%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Noah Clowney	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Jalen Wilson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Terance Mann	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drake Powell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Danny Wolf	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nolan Traore	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.16	-0.00	14	69%	0.29	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.10	-0.00	13	69%	0.25	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cooper Flagg	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	-0.00	0.04	17	67%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Miles Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	56%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	14	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	12	38%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.07	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Moussa Cisse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	0.1	27.5	13.6	26.9	1.8	28.4	127.7
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.5	2.3	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +48.2%

BKN -11.0%

BKN -3.3%

DAL +16.0%

DAL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DAL	NBA	BKN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.5	14.2	108.2	115.3	113.6
season	15.0	13.9		110.4	108.5
opponent	14.0	14.3		111.8	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.0	17.4	14.8	12.9	14.9
DAL	14.8	13.3	14.6	15.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terance Mann	70	72	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-10	12	14.9	15.1	-0.28	15.0	13.3	1.73
Jalen Wilson	66	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-5	2	14.9	15.0	-0.03	14.7	14.1	0.65
Day'Ron Sharpe	70	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-4	0	14.8	15.3	-0.53	14.7	14.0	0.74
Tyrese Martin	69	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-2	-4	14.9	15.0	-0.12	14.6	14.4	0.26
Michael Porter Jr.	85	85	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-7	6	14.8	15.7	-0.91	14.9	12.4	2.49
Nolan Traore	84	86	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-2	-4	15.2	13.2	2.07	14.7	13.3	1.38
Danny Wolf	77	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-1	-6	15.6	12.5	3.08	14.7	14.1	0.55
Noah Clowney	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	-1	-6	14.5	16.5	-2.01	15.2	12.0	3.17
Nic Claxton	74	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.19	-9	1	-10	14.5	16.5	-2.06	14.8	13.6	1.27
Drake Powell	73	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	0	-8	14.4	16.6	-2.17	15.1	12.7	2.43

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Nembhard	93	93	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-4	16	15.0	6.2	8.79	15.1	10.5	4.64
Naji Marshall	87	86	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.20	11	-3	14	14.8	12.8	1.94	14.8	15.8	-0.98
Cooper Flagg	90	90	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	3	2	14.6	13.7	0.86	14.9	15.3	-0.36
Klay Thompson	82	82	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.21	8	0	8	14.4	15.1	-0.70	14.6	16.7	-2.03
Max Christie	92	91	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	4	0	14.7	12.5	2.17	14.9	16.3	-1.48
Caleb Martin	70	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	-2	12	14.5	14.6	-0.04	16.0	12.4	3.57
Dwight Powell	76	77	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	4	0	15.1	12.5	2.69	14.6	16.1	-1.45
Moussa Cisse	69	69	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	7	-6	15.3	12.8	2.48	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Jaden Hardy	58	55	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	7	-6	15.5	13.1	2.35	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Miles Kelly	58	58	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	5	-2	14.7	14.3	0.32	15.1	14.7	0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.82,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 104, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
MIL 89, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.98,1,1	93.6%
BKN 84, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.85,0.92,1	93.4%